Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic46.2%279TrumpRepublican51.5%311OtherAll other candidates2.3%14
R+5.3
Lead
32
Total
604
vs nation
R+3.8
BidenDemocratic61.1%234TrumpRepublican37.3%143OtherAll other candidates1.6%6
D+23.8
Lead
91
Total
383
vs nation
D+19.3
ClintonDemocratic62.0%160TrumpRepublican31.8%82OtherAll other candidates6.2%16
D+30.2
Lead
78
Total
258
vs nation
D+28.1
ObamaDemocratic66.3%167RomneyRepublican32.5%82OtherAll other candidates1.2%3
D+33.7
Lead
85
Total
252
vs nation
D+29.9
ObamaDemocratic64.5%231McCainRepublican34.1%122OtherAll other candidates1.4%5
D+30.4
Lead
109
Total
358
vs nation
D+23.2
KerryDemocratic45.5%167BushRepublican54.5%200OtherAll other candidates0.0%0
R+9.0
Lead
33
Total
367
vs nation
R+6.5
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+5.3MIT Election Lab
Population
3,3422024 5-year
Population density
548 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
6.1 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$90,3132024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
17.2%2024 5-year
Black
6.4%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
13.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+33.7 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+9.0 in 2004MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
28.0%608 participants ÷ 2,170 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+9.1 ptsPersistently low turnout
Drop-off vs state
-7.5 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
19.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%
13.7%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
608
2,170 ± 343
28.0%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
280
2,038 ± 332
13.7%
Audited
E/D
387
1,698 ± 309
22.8%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Kalaeloa, HI · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
66.3%
167 votes · D+33.7
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 64.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
54.5%
200 votes · R+9.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 51.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
279votes
46.2% of the vote · R+5.3
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 234 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
311votes
51.5% of the vote · R+5.3
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 200 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2012
+29.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+33.7 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · Hillary Clinton, 2016 · +28.1 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+6.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+9.0 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +3.8 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Kalaeloa · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Honolulu County, Hawaii, the county containing Kalaeloa — Kalaeloa’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Kalaeloa, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Kalaeloa occupies the redeveloped footprint of the decommissioned Barbers Point Naval Air Station, giving this small CDP an unusually transient demographic profile shaped by federal redevelopment timelines rather than organic growth.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.7 points in 2012 and a Republican high of 9.0 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 29.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.3 points.
A population of 3,342, a 17% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $90,313 describe the city.
In 2024, Kalaeloa, Hawaii voted Republican by 5.3 points (R+5.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 604 votes cast, 279 went Democratic and 311 went Republican.
When did Kalaeloa, Hawaii last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Kalaeloa, Hawaii voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Kalaeloa, Hawaii?
Kalaeloa, Hawaii has a population of 3,342 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Kalaeloa, Hawaii?
Median household income in Kalaeloa, Hawaii is $90,313 — above the national median of $80,734. The Hawaii state median is $100,389.
What is the political history of Kalaeloa, Hawaii?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Kalaeloa, Hawaii from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 2 went Republican.
