Urban Honolulu, Hawaii
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +9.7% |
| 2008 | +46.6% |
| 2012 | +46.4% |
| 2016 | +39.2% |
| 2020 | +37.6% |
| 2024 | +35.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 66.6%Harris76,732 | 31.5%Trump36,324 | 1.9% | D+35.0 | R+2.5 | D+36.5 | 115,294 | |
| D | 68.0%Biden90,237 | 30.4%Trump40,374 | 1.6% | D+37.6 | R+1.6 | D+33.1 | 132,674 | |
| D | 66.3%Clinton67,326 | 27.1%Trump27,481 | 6.7% | D+39.2 | R+7.2 | D+37.1 | 101,562 | |
| D | 72.6%Obama76,524 | 26.1%Romney27,554 | 1.3% | D+46.4 | R+0.2 | D+42.6 | 105,476 | |
| D | 72.4%Obama78,937 | 25.9%McCain28,177 | 1.7% | D+46.6 | D+36.9 | D+39.3 | 108,969 | |
| D | 54.3%Kerry56,059 | 44.6%Bush46,015 | 1.1% | D+9.7 | — | D+12.2 | 103,211 |
Urban Honolulu's electorate reflects Hawaii's majority-minority demographics, with Asian Americans comprising the largest share of residents and Democrats routinely winning statewide offices by double-digit margins in this compact island metro.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 46.6 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 35.0 points.
A population of 345,482, a 16% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,504 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Philadelphia and New York.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Urban Honolulu, Hawaii. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1571550/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.