† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupBay ShoreNew YorkUnited States
Salvadoran8.6%0.9%0.7%
Puerto Rican7.4%5.1%1.8%
Dominican4.3%4.6%0.7%
Ecuadorian3.4%1.6%—
Mexican2.6%2.5%11.3%
Colombian2.6%0.9%0.4%
Guatemalan1.7%0.5%0.5%
Honduran1.7%0.3%0.3%
Italian12.3%10.9%4.8%
Irish9.6%10.5%9.4%
German6.5%8.6%12.5%
English2.5%5.6%9.5%
Polish2.4%3.9%2.2%
American2.3%4.2%5.3%
Russian0.9%1.2%—
Greek0.7%——
African American†8.6%8.0%9.9%
Haitian1.8%0.9%0.3%
Jamaican1.4%1.6%0.4%
Guyanese0.6%0.7%—
African0.4%0.6%0.5%
Trinidadian and Tobagonian0.4%0.4%—
Asian Indian3.0%1.9%1.4%
Chinese2.3%3.6%1.3%
Pakistani1.4%0.4%—
Filipino0.9%0.6%0.9%
Korean0.7%0.6%0.4%
Bangladeshi0.5%0.6%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Bay Shore
New York
United States
Median age
34.6
39.9
39.1
Age 18–24
7.6%
9.0%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
12.7%
18.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Bay Shore
New York
United States
Median household income
$105,618
$85,974
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.2%
14.0%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
30.1%
40.0%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Bay Shore
New York
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
45.3%
30.9%
22.3%
Spanish
32.5%
14.8%
13.6%
French (incl. Cajun & Haitian)
3.1%
1.5%
0.7%
Other Indo-European
7.2%
4.0%
2.0%
Religious landscape
Measure
Bay Shore
New York
United States
Catholic
—
30.8%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
5.1%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
48.7%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Bay Shore, New York
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+22.7%
2008
+27.5%
2012
+32.7%
2016
+20.3%
2020
+23.7%
2024
+11.6%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
55.0%Harris6,275
43.5%Trump4,957
1.5%
D+11.6
R+12.1
D+13.0
11,406
D
61.1%Biden6,839
37.4%Trump4,184
1.6%
D+23.7
D+3.4
D+19.2
11,202
D
58.0%Clinton5,875
37.7%Trump3,820
4.3%
D+20.3
R+12.4
D+18.2
10,126
D
65.7%Obama6,250
33.0%Romney3,141
1.4%
D+32.7
D+5.1
D+28.8
9,520
D
63.2%Obama6,083
35.6%McCain3,431
1.2%
D+27.5
D+4.9
D+20.3
9,629
D
60.1%Kerry5,534
37.4%Bush3,448
2.5%
D+22.7
—
D+25.1
9,209
Bay Shore's population is roughly 40% Hispanic, a share that has climbed steadily over two decades and that increasingly drives turnout patterns in Suffolk County legislative races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 32.7 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 12.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 31,683, a 35% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $105,618 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Central Islip and North Bellport.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Bay Shore, New York voted Democratic by 11.6 points (D+11.6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 11,406 votes cast, 6,275 went Democratic and 4,957 went Republican.
How many people live in Bay Shore, New York?
Bay Shore, New York has a population of 31,683 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Bay Shore, New York?
Median household income in Bay Shore, New York is $105,618 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Bay Shore, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Bay Shore, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
