Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic48.8%799TrumpRepublican50.4%824OtherAll other candidates0.8%13
R+1.5
Lead
25
Total
1,636
vs nation
R+0.1
BidenDemocratic53.6%877TrumpRepublican44.4%726OtherAll other candidates2.0%32
D+9.2
Lead
151
Total
1,635
vs nation
D+4.8
ClintonDemocratic46.0%689TrumpRepublican49.5%741OtherAll other candidates4.5%67
R+3.5
Lead
52
Total
1,497
vs nation
R+5.6
ObamaDemocratic44.0%645RomneyRepublican54.6%800OtherAll other candidates1.4%20
R+10.6
Lead
155
Total
1,465
vs nation
R+14.4
ObamaDemocratic48.2%745McCainRepublican50.4%779OtherAll other candidates1.4%22
R+2.2
Lead
34
Total
1,546
vs nation
R+9.5
KerryDemocratic45.0%681BushRepublican52.2%789OtherAll other candidates2.8%42
R+7.1
Lead
108
Total
1,512
vs nation
R+4.7
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+1.5MIT Election Lab
Population
2,6612024 5-year
Population density
2,957 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
0.9 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$175,3682024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.8%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
10.5%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+9.2 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+10.6 in 2012MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20247 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
75.8%1,648 participants ÷ 2,173 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+21.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
-0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
52.1%–54.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
57.4%
60.0%
2008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,648
2,173 ± 300
75.8%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,205
2,010 ± 321
60.0%
Audited
E/D
1,654
2,030 ± 304
81.5%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,208
2,103 ± 252
57.4%
Audited
E/D
1,513
1,816 ± 167
83.3%
Audited
E/A
1,465
2,084
70.3%
Derived
—
1,546
1,796
86.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Halesite, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
53.6%
877 votes · D+9.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 48.8%
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
54.6%
800 votes · R+10.6
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 52.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
877votes
53.6% of the vote · D+9.2
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 799 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
824votes
50.4% of the vote · R+1.5
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 800 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+4.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+9.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · −0.1 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+14.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+10.6 · U.S. D+3.9
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +9.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Halesite · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Suffolk County, New York, the county containing Halesite — Halesite’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Halesite, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Halesite sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.2 points in 2020 and a Republican high of 10.6 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 10.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 1.5 points.
A population of 2,661, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $175,368 describe the city.
In 2024, Halesite, New York voted Republican by 1.5 points (R+1.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,636 votes cast, 799 went Democratic and 824 went Republican.
When did Halesite, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Halesite, New York voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Halesite, New York?
Halesite, New York has a population of 2,661 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Halesite, New York?
Median household income in Halesite, New York is $175,368 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Halesite, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Halesite, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.
