Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic54.5%1,331TrumpRepublican44.3%1,083OtherAll other candidates1.2%30
D+10.1
Lead
248
Total
2,444
vs nation
D+11.6
BidenDemocratic58.1%1,475TrumpRepublican40.7%1,033OtherAll other candidates1.1%29
D+17.4
Lead
442
Total
2,537
vs nation
D+13.0
ClintonDemocratic51.9%1,111TrumpRepublican44.7%957OtherAll other candidates3.3%71
D+7.2
Lead
154
Total
2,139
vs nation
D+5.1
ObamaDemocratic53.0%1,151RomneyRepublican45.6%990OtherAll other candidates1.3%29
D+7.4
Lead
161
Total
2,170
vs nation
D+3.6
ObamaDemocratic54.2%1,148McCainRepublican44.3%938OtherAll other candidates1.6%33
D+9.9
Lead
210
Total
2,119
vs nation
D+2.6
KerryDemocratic52.3%1,065BushRepublican46.1%940OtherAll other candidates1.6%33
D+6.1
Lead
125
Total
2,038
vs nation
D+8.6
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
D+10.1MIT Election Lab
Population
4,2232024 5-year
Population density
228 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
18.5 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$142,9612024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
89.1%2024 5-year
Black
1.2%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
6.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+17.4 in 2020MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2008–20247 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
77.5%2,452 participants ÷ 3,162 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+36.1 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+14.4 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
41.4%–51.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
58.7%
53.8%
2008201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,452
3,162 ± 435
77.5%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,858
3,453 ± 476
53.8%
Audited
E/D
2,553
2,839 ± 436
89.9%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,729
2,947 ± 343
58.7%
Audited
E/D
2,148
2,887 ± 321
74.4%
Audited
E/D
2,170
2,539
85.5%
Derived
—
2,119
2,284
92.8%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Montauk, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
58.1%
1,475 votes · D+17.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 54.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
46.1%
940 votes · D+6.1
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 45.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,475votes
58.1% of the vote · D+17.4
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 1,331 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,083votes
44.3% of the vote · D+10.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,033 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
+13.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+17.4 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · +11.6 pts
Republican
John McCain2008
−2.6pts R vs U.S.
Place D+9.9 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · −3.6 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Montauk · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Suffolk County, New York, the county containing Montauk — Montauk’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Montauk, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Montauk's year-round population of roughly 4,000 swells dramatically each summer, compressing its voter base into a small permanent core while surrounding Suffolk County trends Republican in most statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 17.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.1 points.
A population of 4,223, a 89% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $142,961 describe the city.
In 2024, Montauk, New York voted Democratic by 10.1 points (D+10.1), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 2,444 votes cast, 1,331 went Democratic and 1,083 went Republican.
How many people live in Montauk, New York?
Montauk, New York has a population of 4,223 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Montauk, New York?
Median household income in Montauk, New York is $142,961 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Montauk, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Montauk, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
