Marion County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
29 precincts · 7,851 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 06Precinct 06 | 250 | 712 | 24 | 986 | 25.4% | 72.2% | R+46.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 08Precinct 08 | 144 | 786 | 11 | 941 | 15.3% | 83.5% | R+68.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 16Precinct 16 | 135 | 595 | 12 | 742 | 18.2% | 80.2% | R+62.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 09Precinct 09 | 76 | 451 | 7 | 534 | 14.2% | 84.5% | R+70.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 26Precinct 26 | 59 | 378 | 9 | 446 | 13.2% | 84.8% | R+71.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 30Precinct 30 | 84 | 336 | 6 | 426 | 19.7% | 78.9% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 02Precinct 02 | 92 | 326 | 3 | 421 | 21.9% | 77.4% | R+55.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 17Precinct 17 | 70 | 321 | 8 | 399 | 17.5% | 80.5% | R+62.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 25Precinct 25 | 71 | 323 | 2 | 396 | 17.9% | 81.6% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 20Precinct 20 | 59 | 260 | 2 | 321 | 18.4% | 81.0% | R+62.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 19Precinct 19 | 63 | 252 | 3 | 318 | 19.8% | 79.2% | R+59.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 03Precinct 03 | 61 | 236 | 5 | 302 | 20.2% | 78.1% | R+57.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 18Precinct 18 | 35 | 187 | 5 | 227 | 15.4% | 82.4% | R+67.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 23Precinct 23 | 39 | 168 | 7 | 214 | 18.2% | 78.5% | R+60.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 24Precinct 24 | 28 | 132 | 0 | 160 | 17.5% | 82.5% | R+65.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 28Precinct 28 | 27 | 113 | 1 | 141 | 19.1% | 80.1% | R+61.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 01Precinct 01 | 43 | 81 | 2 | 126 | 34.1% | 64.3% | R+30.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 04Precinct 04 | 36 | 87 | 2 | 125 | 28.8% | 69.6% | R+40.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 10Precinct 10 | 17 | 99 | 1 | 117 | 14.5% | 84.6% | R+70.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 15Precinct 15 | 19 | 75 | 1 | 95 | 20.0% | 78.9% | R+58.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 05Precinct 05 | 29 | 61 | 1 | 91 | 31.9% | 67.0% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 11Precinct 11 | 14 | 66 | 3 | 83 | 16.9% | 79.5% | R+62.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 07Precinct 07 | 17 | 56 | 0 | 73 | 23.3% | 76.7% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 21Precinct 21 | 6 | 44 | 1 | 51 | 11.8% | 86.3% | R+74.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 13Precinct 13 | 10 | 26 | 1 | 37 | 27.0% | 70.3% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 14Precinct 14 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 27 | 14.8% | 81.5% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 12Precinct 12 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 18 | 27.8% | 66.7% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 29Precinct 29 | 5 | 12 | 1 | 18 | 27.8% | 66.7% | R+38.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 22Precinct 22 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 16 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +54.6% |
| 1896 | +55.6% |
| 1900 | +41.2% |
| 1904 | +23.5% |
| 1908 | +28.9% |
| 1912 | +37.7% |
| 1916 | +48.1% |
| 1920 | +28.8% |
| 1924 | +41.5% |
| 1928 | +25.1% |
| 1932 | +65.5% |
| 1936 | +38.5% |
| 1940 | +45.3% |
| 1944 | +33.8% |
| 1948 | +48.2% |
| 1952 | +13.0% |
| 1956 | +10.6% |
| 1960 | −2.4% |
| 1964 | +20.8% |
| 1968 | −12.1% |
| 1972 | −35.0% |
| 1976 | +18.6% |
| 1980 | −18.9% |
| 1984 | −29.0% |
| 1988 | −18.5% |
| 1992 | +11.8% |
| 1996 | +6.9% |
| 2000 | −19.4% |
| 2004 | −22.2% |
| 2008 | −29.9% |
| 2012 | −38.8% |
| 2016 | −56.3% |
| 2020 | −56.7% |
| 2024 | −60.2% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 17.0%1,015 | 79.6%4,766 | 5,984 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 80.4%5,928 | 7,370 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 10,214 |
| 2020 | 10,723 |
| 2022 | 11,090 |
| 2024 | 11,586 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+170 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +2,473 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $55,013 in average income, against $53,818 for residents who stayed — 2% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+58.7 on average — 1.5 points more Democratic-leaning than Marion County, AR itself (R+60.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Baxter County, AR161R+56.8
- Boone County, AR49R+64.9
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Baxter County, AR160
- Boone County, AR48
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +84 |
| 2012 | +17 |
| 2013 | −60 |
| 2014 | +75 |
| 2015 | −102 |
| 2016 | +235 |
| 2017 | +154 |
| 2018 | +363 |
| 2019 | +172 |
| 2021 | +286 |
| 2022 | +455 |
| 2023 | +398 |
| 2024 | +226 |
| 2025 | +170 |
Marion County, anchored by the resort town of Yellville on Bull Shoals Lake, delivered a 60-point Republican margin in 2024 — consistent with a broader pattern of overwhelming GOP dominance across rural Ozark counties in northern Arkansas.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 65.5 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 60.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 60.2 points.
A population of 17,228, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,619 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Newton County and Montgomery County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Marion County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05089/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.