Nevada County, Arkansas: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted R+40%. Democratic peak: D+84 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+40MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 8,1592024 5-year
- Median household income
- $53,8862024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 31.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+84 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Lafayette County, AR · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +18.8% |
| 1896 | +55.8% |
| 1900 | −0.8% |
| 1904 | +1.9% |
| 1908 | +5.4% |
| 1912 | +22.1% |
| 1916 | +35.4% |
| 1920 | −2.8% |
| 1924 | +25.8% |
| 1928 | +13.5% |
| 1932 | +84.3% |
| 1936 | +71.7% |
| 1940 | +72.1% |
| 1944 | +53.0% |
| 1948 | +52.9% |
| 1952 | +31.0% |
| 1956 | +28.3% |
| 1960 | +24.3% |
| 1964 | +21.6% |
| 1968 | +11.9% |
| 1972 | −36.1% |
| 1976 | +45.4% |
| 1980 | +21.0% |
| 1984 | −13.7% |
| 1988 | +0.5% |
| 1992 | +26.0% |
| 1996 | +35.7% |
| 2000 | +1.9% |
| 2004 | −1.7% |
| 2008 | −16.2% |
| 2012 | −20.2% |
| 2016 | −26.4% |
| 2020 | −31.5% |
| 2024 | −39.7% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 849 | 2,002 | 2,907 | ||
| R | 1,076 | 2,133 | 3,358 | ||
| R | 1,157 | 2,000 | 3,192 | ||
| R | 1,314 | 1,996 | 3,384 | ||
| R | 1,474 | 2,062 | 3,635 | ||
| R | 1,694 | 1,752 | 3,477 | ||
| D | 1,867 | 1,796 | 3,738 | ||
| D | 2,279 | 976 | 3,650 | ||
| D | 2,242 | 1,217 | 3,948 | ||
| D | 1,732 | 1,714 | 3,459 | ||
| R | 1,783 | 2,352 | 4,152 | ||
| D | 2,631 | 1,697 | 4,440 | ||
| D | 3,101 | 1,163 | 4,269 | ||
| R | 1,179 | 2,513 | 3,692 | ||
| O | 1,308 | 840 | 3,921 | ||
| D | 2,190 | 1,406 | 3,625 | ||
| D | 1,605 | 937 | 2,751 | ||
| D | 1,871 | 1,039 | 2,943 | ||
| D | 1,972 | 1,037 | 3,014 | ||
| D | 1,140 | 202 | 1,772 | ||
| D | 1,353 | 415 | 1,771 | ||
| D | 1,399 | 224 | 1,630 | ||
| D | 1,252 | 204 | 1,461 | ||
| D | 2,358 | 197 | 2,564 | ||
| D | 1,242 | 946 | 2,192 | ||
| D | 719 | 386 | 1,291 | ||
| R | 1,220 | 1,292 | 2,551 | ||
| D | 1,376 | 657 | 2,033 | ||
| D | 607 | 322 | 1,290 | ||
| D | 890 | 784 | 1,964 | ||
| D | 585 | 556 | 1,524 | ||
| R | 732 | 744 | 1,569 | ||
| D | 1,669 | 469 | 2,149 | ||
| D | 1,132 | 645 | 2,586 | ||
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Demographics
Nevada County sits in southwestern Arkansas's timber country, where a declining population and an aging rural demographic have pushed presidential margins steadily rightward, reaching nearly 40 points in 2024.
The Democratic margin here reached eighty-four points in 1932. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved eight points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was forty points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $53,886 and a 20% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lafayette County and Bradley County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Nevada County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05099/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
