Cascade County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 37,452 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -21B21B | 708 | 1,177 | 76 | 1,961 | 36.1% | 60.0% | R+23.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -24B24B | 701 | 1,162 | 41 | 1,904 | 36.8% | 61.0% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -24A24A | 772 | 1,028 | 68 | 1,868 | 41.3% | 55.0% | R+13.7 |
| Precinct -26A26A | 561 | 1,245 | 47 | 1,853 | 30.3% | 67.2% | R+36.9 |
| Precinct -21C21C | 677 | 1,119 | 45 | 1,841 | 36.8% | 60.8% | R+24.0 |
| Precinct -26B26B | 498 | 1,288 | 41 | 1,827 | 27.3% | 70.5% | R+43.2 |
| Precinct -20A20A | 715 | 922 | 68 | 1,705 | 41.9% | 54.1% | R+12.1 |
| Precinct -20C20C | 750 | 886 | 57 | 1,693 | 44.3% | 52.3% | R+8.0 |
| Precinct -20B20B | 753 | 861 | 55 | 1,669 | 45.1% | 51.6% | R+6.5 |
| Precinct -23C23C | 657 | 874 | 41 | 1,572 | 41.8% | 55.6% | R+13.8 |
| Precinct -22B22B | 652 | 863 | 42 | 1,557 | 41.9% | 55.4% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -23B23B | 667 | 834 | 40 | 1,541 | 43.3% | 54.1% | R+10.8 |
| Precinct -25C25C | 442 | 1,037 | 55 | 1,534 | 28.8% | 67.6% | R+38.8 |
| Precinct -23A23A | 658 | 755 | 42 | 1,455 | 45.2% | 51.9% | R+6.7 |
| Precinct -25A25A | 312 | 1,095 | 41 | 1,448 | 21.5% | 75.6% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -22A22A | 554 | 822 | 47 | 1,423 | 38.9% | 57.8% | R+18.8 |
| Precinct -24C24C | 541 | 841 | 38 | 1,420 | 38.1% | 59.2% | R+21.1 |
| Precinct -21A21A | 568 | 760 | 45 | 1,373 | 41.4% | 55.4% | R+14.0 |
| Precinct -25B25B | 312 | 976 | 46 | 1,334 | 23.4% | 73.2% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -25D25D | 362 | 929 | 30 | 1,321 | 27.4% | 70.3% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -19A19A | 670 | 583 | 52 | 1,305 | 51.3% | 44.7% | D+6.7 |
| Precinct -19B19B | 575 | 623 | 61 | 1,259 | 45.7% | 49.5% | R+3.8 |
| Precinct -7878 | 249 | 788 | 29 | 1,066 | 23.4% | 73.9% | R+50.6 |
| Precinct -19C19C | 350 | 410 | 22 | 782 | 44.8% | 52.4% | R+7.7 |
| Precinct -21D21D | 154 | 216 | 1 | 371 | 41.5% | 58.2% | R+16.7 |
| Precinct -22C22C | 113 | 247 | 10 | 370 | 30.5% | 66.8% | R+36.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −3.9% |
| 1896 | +50.6% |
| 1900 | +12.2% |
| 1904 | −23.5% |
| 1908 | −1.1% |
| 1912 | +12.2% |
| 1916 | +31.6% |
| 1920 | −24.8% |
| 1924 | −24.4% |
| 1928 | −11.1% |
| 1932 | +25.2% |
| 1936 | +52.0% |
| 1940 | +35.4% |
| 1944 | +26.1% |
| 1948 | +26.5% |
| 1952 | −4.8% |
| 1956 | −5.8% |
| 1960 | +8.4% |
| 1964 | +32.3% |
| 1968 | +7.2% |
| 1972 | −10.6% |
| 1976 | −2.0% |
| 1980 | −20.3% |
| 1984 | −16.2% |
| 1988 | −0.7% |
| 1992 | +6.1% |
| 1996 | +4.0% |
| 2000 | −15.1% |
| 2004 | −15.9% |
| 2008 | +2.3% |
| 2012 | −9.0% |
| 2016 | −21.6% |
| 2020 | −19.7% |
| 2024 | −22.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 53,867 |
| 2018 | 49,406 |
| 2020 | 50,314 |
| 2022 | 49,679 |
| 2024 | 51,988 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+346 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −2,618 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $60,472 in average income, against $73,903 for residents who stayed — 18% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+7.2 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Cascade County, MT itself (R+22.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Missoula County, MT109D+21.4
- Lewis and Clark County, MT107R+5.7
- Gallatin County, MT100D+3.2
- Yellowstone County, MT69R+27.1
- Teton County, MT54R+45.0
- Hill County, MT46R+18.2
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Missoula County, MT93
- Lewis and Clark County, MT85
- Yellowstone County, MT85
- Gallatin County, MT77
- Flathead County, MT46
- Teton County, MT45
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −196 |
| 2012 | −703 |
| 2013 | +35 |
| 2014 | −557 |
| 2015 | −651 |
| 2016 | −627 |
| 2017 | −122 |
| 2018 | −136 |
| 2019 | −595 |
| 2021 | +238 |
| 2022 | +524 |
| 2023 | −171 |
| 2024 | −3 |
| 2025 | +346 |
Home to Malmstrom Air Force Base and a substantial military population, Cascade County delivered a 22-point Republican margin in 2024 despite being one of Montana's more urbanized counties by Great Plains standards.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 52.0 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 24.8 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.6 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 22.3 points.
A population of 84,606, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,690 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Delaware County and Vigo County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cascade County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30013/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.