Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupFallon CountyMontanaUnited States
German43.9%22.9%12.5%
Norwegian20.1%7.5%—
Irish9.3%13.5%9.4%
English9.2%13.1%9.5%
American6.0%5.4%5.3%
Polish4.9%—2.2%
Scottish4.3%2.6%1.3%
Dutch2.1%——
Navajo2.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Fallon County
Montana
United States
Median age
37.5
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
9.0%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
22.3%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Fallon County
Montana
United States
Median household income
$76,250
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.4%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
16.2%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Fallon County
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
0.1%
4.2%
22.3%
Religious landscape
Measure
Fallon County
Montana
United States
Catholic
14.6%
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
8.9%
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
44.5%
65.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
32.0%
4.7%
5.2%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Fallon County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
1 precincts · 1,507 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Fallon County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -PRECINCT 1PRECINCT 1
163
1,303
41
1,507
10.8%
86.5%
R+75.6
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1916–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1916
+21.7%
1920
−45.8%
1924
−38.9%
1928
−38.8%
1932
+16.3%
1936
+25.1%
1940
−14.7%
1944
−27.4%
1948
−4.1%
1952
−40.6%
1956
−22.5%
1960
−21.2%
1964
−3.9%
1968
−32.8%
1972
−31.4%
1976
−4.8%
1980
−40.3%
1984
−36.5%
1988
−23.8%
1992
−17.7%
1996
−21.5%
2000
−58.8%
2004
−59.6%
2008
−52.1%
2012
−63.4%
2016
−75.8%
2020
−76.4%
2024
−75.6%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
10.8%Harris163
86.5%Trump1,303
2.1%Kennedy32 +2
R+75.6
D+0.7
R+74.2
1,507
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican86.5%1,303
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic10.8%163
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent2.1%32
Chase OliverLibertarian0.3%5
Jill SteinIndependent0.3%4
R
10.9%Biden172
87.3%Trump1,375
1.8%Jorgensen28
R+76.4
R+0.6
R+80.8
1,575
R
10.4%Clinton154
86.2%Trump1,279
3.0%Johnson45
R+75.8
R+12.4
R+77.9
1,484
R
16.9%Obama237
80.2%Romney1,128
2.8%GRAY40
R+63.4
R+11.3
R+67.2
1,406
R
22.2%Obama318
74.3%McCain1,064
3.5%
R+52.1
D+7.5
R+59.4
1,432
R
19.4%Kerry289
79.0%Bush1,178
1.6%
R+59.6
R+0.8
R+57.2
1,491
R
18.7%Gore256
77.5%Bush1,061
2.3%Nader31
R+58.8
R+37.3
R+59.3
1,369
R
29.8%Clinton452
51.3%Dole778
18.2%Perot276
R+21.5
R+3.8
R+30.0
1,516
R
27.7%Clinton446
45.5%Bush731
26.6%Perot427
R+17.7
D+6.1
R+23.3
1,608
R
37.4%Dukakis612
61.2%Bush1,002
1.3%
R+23.8
D+12.7
R+16.1
1,636
R
31.1%Mondale569
67.6%Reagan1,237
1.3%
R+36.5
D+3.8
R+18.3
1,829
R
26.7%Carter512
67.0%Reagan1,286
6.4%
R+40.3
R+35.5
R+30.6
1,920
R
47.1%Carter847
52.0%Ford934
0.9%
R+4.8
D+26.5
R+6.9
1,797
R
33.1%McGovern531
64.5%Nixon1,034
2.4%
R+31.4
D+1.4
R+8.2
1,604
R
30.5%Humphrey477
63.3%Nixon990
6.3%
R+32.8
R+28.9
R+32.1
1,565
R
48.0%Johnson765
51.8%Goldwater827
0.2%
R+3.9
D+17.3
R+26.5
1,595
R
39.4%Kennedy597
60.6%Nixon918
0.1%
R+21.2
D+1.3
R+21.3
1,516
R
38.8%Stevenson612
61.2%Eisenhower967
0.0%
R+22.5
D+18.1
R+7.1
1,579
R
29.5%Stevenson440
70.0%Eisenhower1,046
0.5%
R+40.6
R+36.4
R+29.8
1,494
R
46.9%Truman623
51.0%Dewey678
2.1%
R+4.1
D+23.3
R+8.6
1,329
R
36.0%Roosevelt494
63.5%Dewey870
0.5%
R+27.4
R+12.7
R+34.9
1,371
R
42.2%Roosevelt686
57.0%Willkie925
0.8%
R+14.7
R+39.8
R+24.7
1,624
D
61.1%Roosevelt1,015
36.0%Landon598
2.9%
D+25.1
D+8.8
D+0.8
1,661
D
56.1%Roosevelt973
39.8%Hoover690
4.1%
D+16.3
D+55.1
R+1.5
1,734
R
30.3%Smith454
69.1%Hoover1,036
0.7%
R+38.8
D+0.1
R+21.3
1,500
R
16.7%Davis220
55.6%Coolidge731
27.6%La Follette363
R+38.9
D+6.9
R+13.7
1,314
R
25.6%Cox381
71.4%Harding1,064
3.1%
R+45.8
R+67.5
R+19.6
1,491
D
59.2%Wilson1,845
37.5%Hughes1,169
3.2%
D+21.7
—
D+18.6
3,114
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
17.1%256
80.3%1,200
1,495
2020
R
14.9%235
85.1%1,341
1,576
2018
R
21.8%281
73.8%951
1,289
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Fallon County, MT
Year
Total registered
2016
1,980
2018
1,814
2020
1,840
2022
1,764
2024
1,766
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−15 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −303 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,900 in average income, against $76,145 for residents who stayed — 48% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Fallon County, MT in Fallon County, MT: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+18
2012
+70
2013
+21
2014
+34
2015
+38
2016
−95
2017
−96
2018
−101
2019
−77
2021
−30
2022
+41
2023
−56
2024
−55
2025
−15
Fallon County, anchored by the small city of Baker, returned an R+75.7 margin in 2024 — among the widest in the state. Its sparse, ranch-dominated eastern plains economy has produced consistently decisive Republican performance across recent election cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.1 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 76.4 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 75.6 points.
A population of 2,760, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $76,250 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wibaux County and Richland County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Fallon County, Montana voted Republican by 75.6 points (R+75.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,507 votes cast, 163 went Democratic and 1,303 went Republican.
When did Fallon County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fallon County, Montana voted Democratic was 1936.
How many people live in Fallon County, Montana?
Fallon County, Montana has a population of 2,760 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fallon County, Montana?
Median household income in Fallon County, Montana is $76,250 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Fallon County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fallon County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.
