Fergus County, Montana: Stable Rural Right county. In 2024, voted R+51%. Republican peak: R+53 in 2016.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+51MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Stable Rural RightAkashic typology
- Population
- 11,6872024 5-year
- Median household income
- $63,7062024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 93.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+42 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53 in 2016MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Jackson County, CO · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Fergus CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Fergus County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −14.9% |
| 1896 | +7.0% |
| 1900 | −14.6% |
| 1904 | −32.4% |
| 1908 | −14.3% |
| 1912 | +17.7% |
| 1916 | +26.1% |
| 1920 | −25.6% |
| 1924 | −17.8% |
| 1928 | −21.1% |
| 1932 | +29.0% |
| 1936 | +42.3% |
| 1940 | +17.6% |
| 1944 | +17.2% |
| 1948 | +11.5% |
| 1952 | −31.8% |
| 1956 | −15.5% |
| 1960 | −4.7% |
| 1964 | +5.1% |
| 1968 | −21.4% |
| 1972 | −40.2% |
| 1976 | −17.6% |
| 1980 | −38.2% |
| 1984 | −43.1% |
| 1988 | −31.0% |
| 1992 | −17.3% |
| 1996 | −29.1% |
| 2000 | −50.1% |
| 2004 | −46.4% |
| 2008 | −34.9% |
| 2012 | −43.1% |
| 2016 | −52.5% |
| 2020 | −51.8% |
| 2024 | −51.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 1,522 | 4,965 | 6,712 | ||
| R | 1,496 | 4,869 | 6,507 | ||
| R | 1,202 | 4,269 | 5,840 | ||
| R | 1,640 | 4,257 | 6,071 | ||
| R | 1,933 | 4,108 | 6,232 | ||
| R | 1,582 | 4,425 | 6,127 | ||
| R | 1,352 | 4,353 | 5,994 | ||
| R | 1,866 | 3,671 | 6,194 | ||
| R | 1,615 | 2,736 | 6,490 | ||
| R | 2,052 | 3,948 | 6,116 | ||
| R | 1,804 | 4,585 | 6,459 | ||
| R | 1,840 | 4,455 | 6,852 | ||
| R | 2,470 | 3,556 | 6,160 | ||
| R | 1,652 | 4,082 | 6,049 | ||
| R | 2,070 | 3,367 | 6,057 | ||
| D | 3,300 | 2,980 | 6,293 | ||
| R | 2,999 | 3,294 | 6,306 | ||
| R | 2,757 | 3,771 | 6,528 | ||
| R | 2,271 | 4,402 | 6,691 | ||
| D | 3,059 | 2,411 | 5,652 | ||
| D | 3,164 | 2,229 | 5,422 | ||
| D | 3,873 | 2,706 | 6,619 | ||
| D | 4,675 | 1,821 | 6,745 | ||
| D | 4,470 | 2,400 | 7,136 | ||
| R | 2,667 | 4,109 | 6,838 | ||
| O | 1,580 | 2,942 | 7,642 | ||
| R | 3,371 | 5,858 | 9,727 | ||
| D | 5,749 | 3,290 | 9,424 | ||
| O | 1,393 | 745 | 3,663 | ||
| R | 1,112 | 1,529 | 2,916 | ||
| R | 780 | 1,599 | 2,529 | ||
| R | 913 | 1,228 | 2,157 | ||
| D | 834 | 725 | 1,562 | ||
| R | 560 | 766 | 1,378 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
27.0%
American
13.0%
Irish
10.5%
English
9.4%
Scottish
3.7%
Italian
2.5%
French
1.7%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 44.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$63,706
Fergus County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Fergus County$63,706
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Fergus County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
15.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1827.8%
Working age (18–64)11.4%
Seniors (65+)14.0%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.5%
speak English only
Other Indo-European2.2%
Spanish2.1%
Other languages0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 63.0% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Fergus County, anchored by the small city of Lewistown in the state's agricultural heartland, recorded a 51-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep conservative alignment typical of Montana's sparsely populated central plains counties.
The Republican margin here reached fifty-three points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved one point toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-one points.
A population of 11,687, a 93% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,706 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jackson County and Petroleum County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Fergus County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Montana
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Frequently asked questions
How did Fergus County, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Fergus County, Montana voted Republican by 51.3 points (R+51), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,712 votes cast, 1,522 went Democratic and 4,965 went Republican.
What is Fergus County, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Fergus County, Montana in the "Stable Rural Right" typology — Mountain, Plains, and rural Republican counties already near their ceiling, with little further room to swing. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 24 times, and other 2 times.
When did Fergus County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Fergus County, Montana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Fergus County, Montana?
Fergus County, Montana has a population of 11,687 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Fergus County, Montana?
Median household income in Fergus County, Montana is $63,706 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Fergus County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Fergus County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 24 went Republican. The county's typology — "Stable Rural Right" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.