Fergus County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
16 precincts · 6,712 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PREC 2PREC 2 | 232 | 782 | 29 | 1,043 | 22.2% | 75.0% | R+52.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PREC 17PREC 17 | 120 | 430 | 23 | 573 | 20.9% | 75.0% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -PREC 13PREC 13 | 156 | 392 | 16 | 564 | 27.7% | 69.5% | R+41.8 |
| Precinct -PREC 3PREC 3 | 63 | 391 | 8 | 462 | 13.6% | 84.6% | R+71.0 |
| Precinct -PREC 11PREC 11 | 125 | 307 | 22 | 454 | 27.5% | 67.6% | R+40.1 |
| Precinct -PREC 6PREC 6 | 148 | 281 | 21 | 450 | 32.9% | 62.4% | R+29.6 |
| Precinct -PREC 8PREC 8 | 88 | 306 | 17 | 411 | 21.4% | 74.5% | R+53.0 |
| Precinct -PREC 9PREC 9 | 118 | 250 | 12 | 380 | 31.1% | 65.8% | R+34.7 |
| Precinct -PREC 7PREC 7 | 116 | 239 | 20 | 375 | 30.9% | 63.7% | R+32.8 |
| Precinct -PREC 10PREC 10 | 124 | 235 | 15 | 374 | 33.2% | 62.8% | R+29.7 |
| Precinct -PREC 5PREC 5 | 35 | 310 | 7 | 352 | 9.9% | 88.1% | R+78.1 |
| Precinct -PREC 4PREC 4 | 52 | 258 | 10 | 320 | 16.3% | 80.6% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -PREC 16PREC 16 | 25 | 252 | 7 | 284 | 8.8% | 88.7% | R+79.9 |
| Precinct -PREC 14PREC 14 | 47 | 193 | 10 | 250 | 18.8% | 77.2% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -PREC 12PREC 12 | 58 | 156 | 7 | 221 | 26.2% | 70.6% | R+44.3 |
| Precinct -PREC 18PREC 18 | 15 | 183 | 1 | 199 | 7.5% | 92.0% | R+84.4 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −14.9% |
| 1896 | +7.0% |
| 1900 | −14.6% |
| 1904 | −32.4% |
| 1908 | −14.3% |
| 1912 | +17.7% |
| 1916 | +26.1% |
| 1920 | −25.6% |
| 1924 | −17.8% |
| 1928 | −21.1% |
| 1932 | +29.0% |
| 1936 | +42.3% |
| 1940 | +17.6% |
| 1944 | +17.2% |
| 1948 | +11.5% |
| 1952 | −31.8% |
| 1956 | −15.5% |
| 1960 | −4.7% |
| 1964 | +5.1% |
| 1968 | −21.4% |
| 1972 | −40.2% |
| 1976 | −17.6% |
| 1980 | −38.2% |
| 1984 | −43.1% |
| 1988 | −31.0% |
| 1992 | −17.3% |
| 1996 | −29.1% |
| 2000 | −50.1% |
| 2004 | −46.4% |
| 2008 | −34.9% |
| 2012 | −43.1% |
| 2016 | −52.5% |
| 2020 | −51.8% |
| 2024 | −51.3% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 7,727 |
| 2018 | 7,819 |
| 2020 | 7,802 |
| 2022 | 7,613 |
| 2024 | 7,978 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+5 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +254 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $62,508 in average income, against $72,393 for residents who stayed — 14% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+27.1 on average — 24 points more Democratic-leaning than Fergus County, MT itself (R+51.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Yellowstone County, MT28R+27.1
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Yellowstone County, MT42
- Cascade County, MT22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −82 |
| 2012 | −2 |
| 2013 | +87 |
| 2014 | −73 |
| 2015 | −24 |
| 2016 | +49 |
| 2017 | −1 |
| 2018 | −154 |
| 2019 | −51 |
| 2021 | +210 |
| 2022 | +114 |
| 2023 | +152 |
| 2024 | +24 |
| 2025 | +5 |
Fergus County, anchored by the small city of Lewistown in the state's agricultural heartland, recorded a 51-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting the deep conservative alignment typical of Montana's sparsely populated central plains counties.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.3 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 52.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.5 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 51.3 points.
A population of 11,687, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $63,706 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Powder River County and Grant County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Fergus County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.