Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupTeton CountyMontanaUnited States
German25.8%22.9%12.5%
English15.5%13.1%9.5%
Irish12.4%13.5%9.4%
American8.8%5.4%5.3%
Norwegian8.1%7.5%—
Swedish3.0%1.4%—
Scottish2.8%2.6%1.3%
Dutch2.3%——
Blackfeet0.4%1.0%—
Puerto Rican0.8%0.2%1.8%
Mexican0.7%2.9%11.3%
Spaniard0.4%0.3%—
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Teton County
Montana
United States
Median age
42.3
40.8
39.1
Age 18–24
6.5%
9.1%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
23.0%
20.0%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Teton County
Montana
United States
Median household income
$70,430
$72,509
$84,427
Poverty rate
13.4%
11.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
26.8%
35.3%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Teton County
Montana
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
6.8%
4.2%
22.3%
German or other West Germanic
5.7%
0.8%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Teton County
Montana
United States
Catholic
31.7%
10.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
22.5%
13.6%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
23.3%
65.3%
51.5%
Mainline Protestant
13.1%
4.7%
5.2%
Latter-day Saints
9.4%
4.7%
2.0%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Teton County, Montana
Precinct data
Results by precinct
5 precincts · 3,568 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
Teton County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024
Precinct -PRECINCT #1PRECINCT #1
458
1,025
50
1,533
29.9%
66.9%
R+37.0
Precinct -PRECINCT #7PRECINCT #7
213
767
27
1,007
21.2%
76.2%
R+55.0
Precinct -PRECINCT #6PRECINCT #6
117
377
14
508
23.0%
74.2%
R+51.2
Precinct -PRECINCT #17PRECINCT #17
104
227
11
342
30.4%
66.4%
R+36.0
Precinct -PRECINCT #11PRECINCT #11
35
137
6
178
19.7%
77.0%
R+57.3
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1896–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1896
+4.6%
1900
−11.2%
1904
−30.8%
1908
−25.6%
1912
+1.7%
1916
+16.1%
1920
−30.6%
1924
−19.7%
1928
−22.0%
1932
+25.6%
1936
+51.5%
1940
+20.8%
1944
+16.7%
1948
+23.1%
1952
−17.4%
1956
−3.2%
1960
+0.8%
1964
+13.1%
1968
−15.1%
1972
−26.2%
1976
−6.7%
1980
−42.5%
1984
−34.1%
1988
−17.7%
1992
−9.4%
1996
−15.4%
2000
−43.7%
2004
−35.3%
2008
−17.7%
2012
−31.4%
2016
−42.7%
2020
−43.5%
2024
−45.0%
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
26.0%Harris927
71.0%Trump2,533
2.2%Kennedy80 +2
R+45.0
R+1.5
R+43.5
3,568
All 5 candidates in 2024 · 3 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican71.0%2,533
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic26.0%927
Robert F Kennedy Jr.Independent2.2%80
Chase OliverLibertarian0.6%22
Jill SteinIndependent0.2%6
R
27.4%Biden1,007
70.9%Trump2,608
1.7%Jorgensen64
R+43.5
R+0.8
R+48.0
3,679
R
25.3%Clinton808
68.1%Trump2,170
5.1%Johnson162
R+42.7
R+11.3
R+44.8
3,188
R
33.0%Obama1,082
64.4%Romney2,113
2.6%GRAY86
R+31.4
R+13.7
R+35.3
3,281
R
39.5%Obama1,294
57.3%McCain1,874
3.2%
R+17.7
D+17.6
R+25.0
3,272
R
31.2%Kerry1,047
66.4%Bush2,232
2.4%
R+35.3
D+8.4
R+32.8
3,359
R
25.6%Gore847
69.2%Bush2,294
3.1%Nader102
R+43.7
R+28.2
R+44.2
3,314
R
35.7%Clinton1,188
51.1%Dole1,701
12.5%Perot416
R+15.4
R+6.0
R+23.9
3,326
R
30.6%Clinton1,043
40.1%Bush1,364
28.5%Perot969
R+9.4
D+8.2
R+15.0
3,405
R
40.2%Dukakis1,303
57.8%Bush1,876
2.0%
R+17.7
D+16.5
R+9.9
3,244
R
32.6%Mondale1,102
66.7%Reagan2,257
0.7%
R+34.1
D+8.3
R+15.9
3,384
R
25.3%Carter902
67.8%Reagan2,415
6.9%
R+42.5
R+35.8
R+32.7
3,564
R
45.0%Carter1,506
51.7%Ford1,730
3.3%
R+6.7
D+19.5
R+8.8
3,345
R
33.8%McGovern1,121
60.0%Nixon1,991
6.3%
R+26.2
R+11.1
R+3.0
3,321
R
39.5%Humphrey1,228
54.6%Nixon1,697
5.9%
R+15.1
R+28.2
R+14.4
3,109
D
56.5%Johnson1,808
43.4%Goldwater1,388
0.1%
D+13.1
D+12.4
R+9.5
3,199
D
50.3%Kennedy1,648
49.5%Nixon1,623
0.2%
D+0.8
D+3.9
D+0.6
3,276
R
48.4%Stevenson1,622
51.6%Eisenhower1,728
0.0%
R+3.2
D+14.3
D+12.2
3,350
R
41.1%Stevenson1,389
58.6%Eisenhower1,978
0.3%
R+17.4
R+40.5
R+6.7
3,378
D
60.0%Truman1,632
36.9%Dewey1,005
3.1%
D+23.1
D+6.4
D+18.6
2,720
D
58.0%Roosevelt1,508
41.3%Dewey1,074
0.7%
D+16.7
R+4.2
D+9.2
2,601
D
60.0%Roosevelt1,735
39.1%Willkie1,132
0.9%
D+20.8
R+30.7
D+10.9
2,894
D
75.2%Roosevelt1,917
23.7%Landon604
1.1%
D+51.5
D+25.9
D+27.2
2,550
D
61.6%Roosevelt1,496
36.0%Hoover875
2.3%
D+25.6
D+47.6
D+7.8
2,428
R
38.6%Smith804
60.6%Hoover1,263
0.9%
R+22.0
R+2.3
R+4.5
2,085
R
20.6%Davis396
40.4%Coolidge775
38.9%La Follette746
R+19.7
D+10.8
D+5.4
1,920
R
31.7%Cox671
62.2%Harding1,319
6.1%
R+30.6
R+46.6
R+4.4
2,119
D
54.5%Wilson2,273
38.4%Hughes1,603
7.1%
D+16.1
D+14.3
D+12.9
4,173
O
32.4%Wilson646
30.7%Taft612
36.8%
Roosevelt +4.4
D+27.3
R+17.8
1,991
R
34.8%Bryan358
60.4%Taft622
4.9%
R+25.6
D+5.2
R+16.1
1,030
R
33.4%Parker420
64.2%Roosevelt808
2.4%
R+30.8
R+19.7
R+11.2
1,258
R
43.9%Bryan457
55.1%McKinley573
1.0%
R+11.2
R+15.7
R+3.6
1,040
D
52.2%Bryan321
47.6%McKinley293
0.2%
D+4.6
—
D+10.6
615
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Congressional elections · 3 Senate races
U.S. Senate
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
R
33.7%1,216
64.4%2,323
3,606
2020
R
31.4%1,165
68.6%2,541
3,706
2018
R
40.9%1,290
56.5%1,784
3,157
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
Voter registration in Teton County, MT
Year
Total registered
2016
4,060
2018
3,998
2020
4,167
2022
4,158
2024
4,414
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+65 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +216 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $70,043 in average income, against $65,918 for residents who stayed — 6% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+22.3 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Teton County, MT itself (R+45.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
Cascade County, MT45R+22.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
Cascade County, MT54
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
Domestic migration in Teton County, MT in Teton County, MT: net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
−26
2012
−18
2013
−29
2014
−45
2015
+19
2016
−71
2017
+56
2018
+11
2019
+9
2021
+39
2022
+90
2023
+103
2024
+13
2025
+65
Teton County's sparse, ranch-dominated high plains produce some of the most consistent Republican margins in Montana, with the 2024 presidential race settled by 45 points in a county of fewer than 6,500 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 51.5 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 45.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 45.0 points.
A population of 6,353, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $70,430 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greeley County and Boone County.
Akashic
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Teton County, Montana voted Republican by 45.0 points (R+45.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 3,568 votes cast, 927 went Democratic and 2,533 went Republican.
When did Teton County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Teton County, Montana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Teton County, Montana?
Teton County, Montana has a population of 6,353 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Teton County, Montana?
Median household income in Teton County, Montana is $70,430 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Teton County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Teton County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 23 went Republican.
