Toole County, Montana: Farm Belt county. In 2024, voted R+57%. Republican peak: R+57 in 2024.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+57MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Farm BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 5,0612024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,7312024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+51 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Washington County, KY · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Toole CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Toole County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | No data |
| 1896 | No data |
| 1900 | No data |
| 1904 | No data |
| 1908 | No data |
| 1912 | No data |
| 1916 | +19.1% |
| 1920 | −32.5% |
| 1924 | −13.9% |
| 1928 | −10.3% |
| 1932 | +36.7% |
| 1936 | +50.8% |
| 1940 | +23.1% |
| 1944 | +16.2% |
| 1948 | +23.0% |
| 1952 | −13.0% |
| 1956 | −13.8% |
| 1960 | +5.7% |
| 1964 | +14.8% |
| 1968 | −13.3% |
| 1972 | −27.8% |
| 1976 | −14.9% |
| 1980 | −47.9% |
| 1984 | −41.9% |
| 1988 | −16.5% |
| 1992 | −3.3% |
| 1996 | −13.3% |
| 2000 | −42.4% |
| 2004 | −38.6% |
| 2008 | −27.3% |
| 2012 | −40.8% |
| 2016 | −53.8% |
| 2020 | −53.3% |
| 2024 | −56.5% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 415 | 1,571 | 2,046 | ||
| R | 467 | 1,596 | 2,119 | ||
| R | 402 | 1,497 | 2,037 | ||
| R | 582 | 1,440 | 2,102 | ||
| R | 737 | 1,317 | 2,121 | ||
| R | 690 | 1,583 | 2,311 | ||
| R | 630 | 1,639 | 2,378 | ||
| R | 874 | 1,203 | 2,482 | ||
| R | 854 | 943 | 2,717 | ||
| R | 1,070 | 1,505 | 2,634 | ||
| R | 789 | 1,949 | 2,768 | ||
| R | 634 | 2,000 | 2,850 | ||
| R | 1,080 | 1,469 | 2,603 | ||
| R | 897 | 1,679 | 2,815 | ||
| R | 1,048 | 1,407 | 2,708 | ||
| D | 1,649 | 1,223 | 2,874 | ||
| D | 1,767 | 1,577 | 3,348 | ||
| R | 1,460 | 1,927 | 3,387 | ||
| R | 1,426 | 1,853 | 3,294 | ||
| D | 1,756 | 1,092 | 2,888 | ||
| D | 1,545 | 1,113 | 2,668 | ||
| D | 1,954 | 1,218 | 3,182 | ||
| D | 2,120 | 654 | 2,884 | ||
| D | 1,917 | 862 | 2,874 | ||
| R | 1,076 | 1,325 | 2,422 | ||
| O | 439 | 697 | 1,859 | ||
| R | 405 | 861 | 1,405 | ||
| D | 1,075 | 698 | 1,972 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
25.1%
Irish
13.6%
English
10.6%
American
5.4%
Italian
3.2%
Scottish
2.5%
French
1.6%
African American
1.4%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.7 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$57,731
Toole County ranks near the middle of US counties.
Toole County$57,731
Montana$72,509
United States$80,734
Toole County ranks near the middle of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.6%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1812.6%
Working age (18–64)12.8%
Seniors (65+)9.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
94.8%
speak English only
Other Indo-European3.3%
Spanish1.2%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.4%
Other languages0.3%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 50.5% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Toole County hugs the Canadian border along Montana's Hi-Line, where a sparse, agriculture-and-energy economy has produced some of the state's most lopsided presidential results for decades running.
The Republican margin here reached fifty-seven points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved three points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was fifty-seven points.
A population of 5,061, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,731 describe an agricultural county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Washington County and Bowman County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Toole County, Montana. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/30101/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in Montana
More farm belt counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Toole County, Montana vote in 2024?
In 2024, Toole County, Montana voted Republican by 56.5 points (R+57), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,046 votes cast, 415 went Democratic and 1,571 went Republican.
What is Toole County, Montana's political typology?
Akashic places Toole County, Montana in the "Farm Belt" typology — Rural Plains and Midwest farm counties — Republican, with modest recent movement. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 8 times, Republican 19 times, and other 1 times.
When did Toole County, Montana last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Toole County, Montana voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Toole County, Montana?
Toole County, Montana has a population of 5,061 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Toole County, Montana?
Median household income in Toole County, Montana is $57,731 — below the national median of $80,734. The Montana state median is $72,509.
What is the political history of Toole County, Montana?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Toole County, Montana from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 8 went Democratic and 19 went Republican. The county's typology — "Farm Belt" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.