Dutchess County, New York: Diversifying Metro county. In 2024, voted D+5%. Republican peak: R+57 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+5MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Diversifying MetroAkashic typology
- Population
- 298,2202024 5-year
- Median household income
- $99,4782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 68.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 9.8%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 15.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+57 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Oakland County, MI · similarity 0.94
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Dutchess CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Dutchess County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −2.0% |
| 1896 | −28.3% |
| 1900 | −21.1% |
| 1904 | −16.7% |
| 1908 | −10.5% |
| 1912 | −0.2% |
| 1916 | −10.7% |
| 1920 | −34.8% |
| 1924 | −38.8% |
| 1928 | −25.5% |
| 1932 | −11.5% |
| 1936 | −8.1% |
| 1940 | −11.6% |
| 1944 | −18.1% |
| 1948 | −31.4% |
| 1952 | −42.5% |
| 1956 | −56.7% |
| 1960 | −21.4% |
| 1964 | +25.9% |
| 1968 | −17.1% |
| 1972 | −39.8% |
| 1976 | −15.3% |
| 1980 | −26.9% |
| 1984 | −36.2% |
| 1988 | −22.8% |
| 1992 | −4.4% |
| 1996 | +5.2% |
| 2000 | −0.2% |
| 2004 | −4.1% |
| 2008 | +8.6% |
| 2012 | +7.5% |
| 2016 | +0.4% |
| 2020 | +9.7% |
| 2024 | +5.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 79,994 | 71,778 | 153,413 | ||
| D | 81,443 | 66,872 | 150,745 | ||
| D | 62,285 | 61,821 | 131,018 | ||
| D | 65,312 | 56,025 | 123,705 | ||
| D | 71,060 | 59,628 | 132,302 | ||
| R | 58,232 | 63,372 | 123,881 | ||
| R | 52,390 | 52,669 | 111,771 | ||
| D | 47,339 | 41,929 | 103,821 | ||
| R | 41,655 | 46,709 | 115,328 | ||
| R | 38,968 | 62,165 | 101,959 | ||
| R | 32,867 | 70,324 | 103,580 | ||
| R | 28,616 | 53,616 | 93,007 | ||
| R | 37,531 | 51,312 | 90,111 | ||
| R | 27,872 | 64,864 | 92,903 | ||
| R | 31,025 | 45,032 | 82,067 | ||
| D | 50,179 | 29,503 | 79,725 | ||
| R | 29,842 | 46,109 | 76,004 | ||
| R | 14,876 | 53,840 | 68,716 | ||
| R | 18,644 | 46,381 | 65,198 | ||
| R | 17,439 | 34,067 | 53,039 | ||
| R | 22,778 | 32,890 | 55,826 | ||
| R | 25,598 | 32,329 | 58,049 | ||
| R | 24,467 | 28,868 | 54,345 | ||
| R | 20,374 | 25,757 | 46,871 | ||
| R | 16,748 | 28,687 | 46,801 | ||
| R | 8,864 | 22,173 | 34,303 | ||
| R | 9,938 | 21,152 | 32,246 | ||
| R | 8,906 | 11,082 | 20,298 | ||
| R | 8,871 | 8,916 | 20,425 | ||
| R | 8,961 | 11,132 | 20,775 | ||
| R | 8,275 | 11,709 | 20,521 | ||
| R | 7,691 | 11,936 | 20,098 | ||
| R | 6,634 | 12,127 | 19,422 | ||
| R | 8,978 | 9,376 | 19,495 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Italian
18.0%
Irish
17.4%
German
12.0%
English
7.6%
American
6.3%
Polish
3.5%
French
1.7%
African American
7.8%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 42.5 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$99,478
Dutchess County ranks in the top 5% of US counties.
Dutchess County$99,478
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Dutchess County ranks in the top 5% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
8.4%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 187.2%
Working age (18–64)8.6%
Seniors (65+)9.3%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
83.8%
speak English only
Spanish9.3%
Other Indo-European4.1%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.8%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 51.6% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Dutchess sits in the mid-Hudson Valley, where an influx of New York City exurbanites has gradually narrowed and reversed a once-reliable Republican margin, leaving it competitive in most statewide races.
The Democratic margin here reached twenty-six points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was five points.
A population of 298,220, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,478 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Oakland County and Hillsborough County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dutchess County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36027/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More in New York
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dutchess County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dutchess County, New York voted Democratic by 5.4 points (D+5), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 153,413 votes cast, 79,994 went Democratic and 71,778 went Republican.
What is Dutchess County, New York's political typology?
Akashic places Dutchess County, New York in the "Diversifying Metro" typology — Mid-size metropolitan counties growing more diverse and trending Democratic. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 7 times, Republican 27 times, and other 0 times.
When did Dutchess County, New York last vote Republican?
The most recent presidential election in which Dutchess County, New York voted Republican was 2004.
How many people live in Dutchess County, New York?
Dutchess County, New York has a population of 298,220 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dutchess County, New York?
Median household income in Dutchess County, New York is $99,478 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Dutchess County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Dutchess County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican. The county's typology — "Diversifying Metro" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.