HarrisDemocratic18.0%6,919TrumpRepublican81.4%31,379OliverLibertarian0.4%152
R+63.5- Lead
- 24,460
- Total
- 38,540
- vs nation
- R+62.0
- Turnout
- 60.3%
Akashiccounty
Henderson County, TX
Contests in this Place (85 available)
President30 · 1908–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1908–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.3% of 64,095 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic19.4%7,060TrumpRepublican79.5%28,911JorgensenLibertarian0.7%264
R+60.1- Lead
- 21,851
- Total
- 36,368
- vs nation
- R+64.5
- Turnout
- 58.8%
ClintonDemocratic18.9%5,669TrumpRepublican78.7%23,650JohnsonLibertarian1.8%535
R+59.8- Lead
- 17,981
- Total
- 30,045
- vs nation
- R+61.9
- Turnout
- 52.8%
ObamaDemocratic22.1%6,106RomneyRepublican76.8%21,231GrayLibertarian0.9%236
R+54.7- Lead
- 15,125
- Total
- 27,627
- vs nation
- R+58.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic27.3%7,913McCainRepublican71.9%20,857OtherAll other candidates0.8%223
R+44.6- Lead
- 12,944
- Total
- 28,993
- vs nation
- R+51.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic29.5%8,505BushRepublican70.1%20,210OtherAll other candidates0.5%134
R+40.6- Lead
- 11,705
- Total
- 28,849
- vs nation
- R+38.1
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic34.0%8,704BushRepublican64.8%16,607NaderGreen0.8%201
R+30.8- Lead
- 7,903
- Total
- 25,627
- vs nation
- R+31.4
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic44.3%10,085DoleRepublican45.4%10,345PerotReform10.0%2,274
R+1.1- Lead
- 260
- Total
- 22,772
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 84,8622024 5-year
- Population density
- 97 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 874 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,1792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.9%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Van Zandt County, TX · twin score 96.6
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 60.3%38,675 participants ÷ 64,095 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 46.5%–49.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38,675 | 64,095 ± 527 | 60.3% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 28,124 | 62,557 ± 517 | 45.0% | Audited | A/A |
| 36,310 | 61,704 ± 462 | 58.8% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 26,969 | 59,854 ± 432 | 45.1% | Audited | A/A |
| 30,904 | 58,483 ± 398 | 52.8% | Audited | A/A | |
| 27,627 | 58,085 | 47.6% | Derived | — | |
| 28,993 | 57,670 | 50.3% | Derived | — | |
| 28,849 | 57,255 extrapolated | 50.4% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Henderson County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Henderson County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
ANDREW WHITE0—
ANGELA "TIAANGIE" VILLESCAZ0—
BOBBY COLE0—
CARLTON W. HART0—
CHRIS BELL0—
GINA HINOJOSA0—
Show all 9 candidates
JOSE NAVARRO BALBUENA0—
PATRICIA ABREGO0—
ZACH VANCE0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 30 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
30 precincts · 38,603 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 4SEPrecinct 4SE | 437 | 2,216 | 24 | 2,677 | 16.3% | 82.8% | R+66.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 3BPrecinct 3B | 226 | 1,899 | 16 | 2,141 | 10.6% | 88.7% | R+78.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4LPPrecinct 4LP | 331 | 1,597 | 18 | 1,946 | 17.0% | 82.1% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2PSSPrecinct 2PSS | 341 | 1,547 | 10 | 1,898 | 18.0% | 81.5% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1TCPrecinct 1TC | 353 | 1,497 | 15 | 1,865 | 18.9% | 80.3% | R+61.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2GBNPrecinct 2GBN | 387 | 1,458 | 16 | 1,861 | 20.8% | 78.3% | R+57.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2EPrecinct 2E | 229 | 1,461 | 12 | 1,702 | 13.5% | 85.8% | R+72.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1CRPrecinct 1CR | 201 | 1,412 | 7 | 1,620 | 12.4% | 87.2% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2PSNPrecinct 2PSN | 281 | 1,294 | 9 | 1,584 | 17.7% | 81.7% | R+64.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3CPrecinct 3C | 269 | 1,276 | 17 | 1,562 | 17.2% | 81.7% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2GBSPrecinct 2GBS | 277 | 1,273 | 11 | 1,561 | 17.7% | 81.6% | R+63.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1TPrecinct 1T | 310 | 1,221 | 10 | 1,541 | 20.1% | 79.2% | R+59.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1MPrecinct 1M | 342 | 1,164 | 17 | 1,523 | 22.5% | 76.4% | R+54.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3CSPrecinct 3CS | 206 | 1,263 | 12 | 1,481 | 13.9% | 85.3% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 183 | 1,206 | 9 | 1,398 | 13.1% | 86.3% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4NLPPrecinct 4NLP | 129 | 1,205 | 4 | 1,338 | 9.6% | 90.1% | R+80.4 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 288 | 925 | 19 | 1,232 | 23.4% | 75.1% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3MPrecinct 3M | 148 | 1,013 | 8 | 1,169 | 12.7% | 86.7% | R+74.0 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B | 309 | 791 | 8 | 1,108 | 27.9% | 71.4% | R+43.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3WSPrecinct 3WS | 157 | 782 | 3 | 942 | 16.7% | 83.0% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1MNPrecinct 1MN | 170 | 750 | 12 | 932 | 18.2% | 80.5% | R+62.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3NPrecinct 3N | 104 | 812 | 2 | 918 | 11.3% | 88.5% | R+77.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4WPrecinct 4W | 149 | 686 | 5 | 840 | 17.7% | 81.7% | R+63.9 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4MSPrecinct 4MS | 251 | 516 | 5 | 772 | 32.5% | 66.8% | R+34.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 374 | 320 | 17 | 711 | 52.6% | 45.0% | D+7.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3NWPrecinct 3NW | 106 | 473 | 5 | 584 | 18.2% | 81.0% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2MPrecinct 2M | 88 | 441 | 2 | 531 | 16.6% | 83.1% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 150 | 314 | 2 | 466 | 32.2% | 67.4% | R+35.2 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 90 | 330 | 4 | 424 | 21.2% | 77.8% | R+56.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 33 | 237 | 6 | 276 | 12.0% | 85.9% | R+73.9 |
presidential history
Party record book
Henderson County, TX · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1908–2024 · 30 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
93.7%
3,522 votes · D+87.8
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 92.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.4%
31,379 votes · R+63.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1996
10,085votes
44.3% of the vote · R+1.1
Runner-up · Michael Dukakis, 1988 · 9,819 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
31,379votes
81.4% of the vote · R+63.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 28,911 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+104.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+79.3 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · +70.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+64.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+60.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +62.0 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RRobert NicholsState Senate · 3
RKeith BellState House · 4
RCody HarrisState House · 8
Seats representing Henderson County, TX. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 1 state senate and 2 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 50,704 |
| 2018 | 50,899 |
| 2020 | 54,663 |
| 2022 | 58,253 |
| 2024 | 59,479 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,377 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +13,316 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $78,090 in average income, against $70,863 for residents who stayed — 10% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+24.6 on average — 39 points more Democratic-leaning than Henderson County, TX itself (R+63.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Kaufman County, TX463R+27.9
- Dallas County, TX384D+22.2
- Smith County, TX340R+45.1
- Van Zandt County, TX157R+74.8
- Tarrant County, TX155R+5.1
- Anderson County, TX107R+61.8
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Smith County, TX358
- Kaufman County, TX335
- Dallas County, TX203
- Van Zandt County, TX169
- Tarrant County, TX114
- Anderson County, TX96
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +178 |
| 2012 | +186 |
| 2013 | −160 |
| 2014 | +682 |
| 2015 | +311 |
| 2016 | +693 |
| 2017 | +1,075 |
| 2018 | +1,398 |
| 2019 | +836 |
| 2021 | +1,990 |
| 2022 | +1,353 |
| 2023 | +1,964 |
| 2024 | +1,433 |
| 2025 | +1,377 |
Henderson County, anchored by the city of Athens in the Piney Woods region, delivered an R+63.5 margin in 2024 — a gap that reflects both its rural character and a decades-long rightward shift among East Texas working-class voters.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.5 points.
A population of 84,862, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,179 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Van Zandt County and Montague County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Van Zandt County
Texas
96.6twin score
2008–2016 trajectoryelasticity
Montague County
Texas
95.3twin score
2008–2024 trajectoryelasticity
Upshur County
Texas
95.0twin score
2008–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Henderson County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48213/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
Cities & towns in Henderson County
Texas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Henderson County, Texas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Henderson County, Texas voted Republican by 63.5 points (R+63.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 38,540 votes cast, 6,919 went Democratic and 31,379 went Republican.
When did Henderson County, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Henderson County, Texas voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Henderson County, Texas?
Henderson County, Texas has a population of 84,862 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Henderson County, Texas?
Median household income in Henderson County, Texas is $65,179 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of Henderson County, Texas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Henderson County, Texas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 19 went Democratic and 11 went Republican.