† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupAvondaleArizonaUnited States
Mexican45.0%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican1.2%0.7%1.8%
Guatemalan0.9%0.4%0.5%
Spaniard0.9%0.5%—
Cuban0.7%0.3%0.7%
Salvadoran0.7%0.3%0.7%
Spanish0.7%0.4%—
Colombian0.3%0.2%0.4%
German8.0%12.6%12.5%
English6.3%10.2%9.5%
Irish5.6%8.9%9.4%
Italian2.8%4.1%4.8%
American2.7%4.0%5.3%
Polish1.4%2.0%2.2%
French1.1%1.8%1.6%
Scottish1.1%1.7%1.3%
African American†9.1%3.6%9.9%
African0.8%0.3%0.5%
Nigerian0.4%—0.2%
Asian Indian1.2%0.9%1.4%
Chinese0.7%0.6%1.3%
Filipino0.7%0.7%0.9%
Vietnamese0.6%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.3%0.3%0.4%
Japanese0.2%0.2%0.2%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Avondale
Arizona
United States
Median age
33.4
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.3%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
8.8%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Avondale
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$86,123
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
10.9%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
21.3%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Avondale
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
42.8%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
36.3%
19.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.0%
1.0%
2.0%
Vietnamese
1.1%
0.4%
0.5%
Arabic
1.0%
0.4%
0.4%
Religious landscape
Measure
Avondale
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Avondale, Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+4.3%
2008
+8.5%
2012
+16.1%
2016
+23.0%
2020
+25.3%
2024
+14.0%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
D
56.4%Harris17,342
42.5%Trump13,051
1.1%
D+14.0
R+11.4
D+15.4
30,737
D
61.9%Biden19,832
36.5%Trump11,706
1.6%
D+25.3
D+2.4
D+20.9
32,062
D
57.9%Clinton13,774
34.9%Trump8,305
7.2%
D+23.0
D+6.9
D+20.9
23,800
D
57.0%Obama11,744
40.9%Romney8,432
2.1%
D+16.1
D+7.5
D+12.2
20,606
D
53.6%Obama10,158
45.1%McCain8,544
1.2%
D+8.5
D+4.2
D+1.3
18,937
D
51.5%Kerry8,519
47.2%Bush7,802
1.3%
D+4.3
—
D+6.8
16,533
Avondale's population has roughly doubled since 2000, driven largely by Latino in-migration to the West Valley. That demographic shift has made it a closely watched bellwether as suburban Maricopa County trends become central to statewide outcomes.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.3 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 11.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 14.0 points.
A population of 92,477, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,123 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Palmdale and Chula Vista.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Avondale, Arizona voted Democratic by 14.0 points (D+14.0), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 30,737 votes cast, 17,342 went Democratic and 13,051 went Republican.
How many people live in Avondale, Arizona?
Avondale, Arizona has a population of 92,477 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Avondale, Arizona?
Median household income in Avondale, Arizona is $86,123 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Avondale, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Avondale, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 6 went Democratic and 0 went Republican.
