† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
10 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupPhoenix (Prescott)ArizonaUnited States
German12.9%12.6%12.5%
English10.3%10.2%9.5%
Irish9.2%8.9%9.4%
Italian4.3%4.1%4.8%
American4.2%4.0%5.3%
Polish2.0%2.0%2.2%
French1.8%1.8%1.6%
Scottish1.7%1.7%1.3%
Mexican24.4%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.7%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard0.5%0.5%—
Spanish0.4%0.4%—
Cuban0.4%0.3%0.7%
Guatemalan0.4%0.4%0.5%
Salvadoran0.3%0.3%0.7%
Colombian0.2%0.2%0.4%
African American†4.0%3.6%9.9%
African0.4%0.3%0.5%
Nigerian0.2%—0.2%
Asian Indian1.0%0.9%1.4%
Filipino0.7%0.7%0.9%
Chinese0.6%0.6%1.3%
Vietnamese0.5%0.4%0.6%
Korean0.3%0.3%0.4%
Japanese0.2%0.2%0.2%
Navajo1.6%1.9%—
Aztec0.2%——
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Phoenix (Prescott)
Arizona
United States
Median age
39.2
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
9.1%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
18.3%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Phoenix (Prescott)
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$84,983
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
11.7%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
33.8%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Phoenix (Prescott)
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
24.0%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
17.4%
19.3%
13.6%
Other Indo-European
1.2%
1.0%
2.0%
Other languages
1.8%
2.0%
0.8%
Religious landscape
Measure
Phoenix (Prescott)
Arizona
United States
Catholic
21.4%
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
10.7%
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
54.9%
55.8%
51.5%
Latter-day Saints
6.7%
6.1%
2.0%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1912–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
1912
+31.0%
1916
+24.3%
1920
−11.0%
1924
−5.4%
1928
−16.2%
1932
+36.8%
1936
+42.8%
1940
+26.4%
1944
+17.2%
1948
+9.7%
1952
−17.0%
1956
−23.2%
1960
−15.0%
1964
−4.5%
1968
−23.9%
1972
−39.3%
1976
−22.1%
1980
−37.9%
1984
−40.6%
1988
−27.7%
1992
−6.0%
1996
−1.1%
2000
−10.4%
2004
−14.8%
2008
−12.1%
2012
−13.0%
2016
−7.6%
2020
−3.3%
2024
−9.2%
DemocraticRepublican
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
44.9%Harris1,211,154
54.0%Trump1,458,398
0.5%Stein14,225 +6
R+9.2
R+5.8
R+7.7
2,698,314
All 9 candidates in 2024 · 7 minor / independent
Donald J TrumpRepublican54.0%1,458,398
Kamala D HarrisDemocratic44.9%1,211,154
Jill SteinIndependent0.5%14,225
Chase OliverLibertarian0.5%14,067
Claudia De La CruzIndependent0.0%388
Shiva AyyaduraiIndependent0.0%40
SkousenIndependent0.0%28
SheltonIndependent0.0%10
BoddieIndependent0.0%4
R
47.4%Biden1,274,789
50.7%Trump1,364,201
1.9%
R+3.3
D+4.2
R+7.8
2,689,628
R
42.5%Clinton865,678
50.1%Trump1,019,579
7.4%
R+7.6
D+5.4
R+9.6
2,035,898
R
42.4%Obama760,743
55.4%Romney993,541
2.1%
R+13.0
R+0.9
R+16.8
1,792,284
R
43.3%Obama766,878
55.4%McCain981,033
1.3%
R+12.1
D+2.7
R+19.4
1,770,047
R
42.1%Kerry644,283
57.0%Bush871,393
0.9%
R+14.8
R+4.5
R+12.4
1,529,599
R
42.7%Gore493,980
53.1%Bush613,894
4.2%
R+10.4
R+9.2
R+10.9
1,156,231
R
44.8%Clinton471,621
45.9%Dole483,557
9.3%
R+1.1
D+4.9
R+9.7
1,053,408
R
33.7%Clinton376,683
39.7%Bush443,584
26.6%
R+6.0
D+21.7
R+11.5
1,117,989
R
35.5%Dukakis307,229
63.2%Bush546,907
1.3%
R+27.7
D+12.9
R+20.0
865,636
R
29.2%Mondale216,400
69.8%Reagan517,840
1.0%
R+40.6
R+2.7
R+22.4
742,028
R
26.0%Carter163,377
64.0%Reagan401,224
10.0%
R+37.9
R+15.8
R+28.2
627,363
R
37.1%Carter198,261
59.2%Ford316,374
3.8%
R+22.1
D+17.3
R+24.1
534,830
R
28.2%McGovern126,528
67.6%Nixon302,825
4.2%
R+39.3
R+15.4
R+16.2
448,161
R
32.9%Humphrey115,136
56.8%Nixon198,973
10.3%
R+23.9
R+19.5
R+23.3
350,095
R
47.7%Johnson162,734
52.2%Goldwater178,036
0.1%
R+4.5
D+10.5
R+27.1
341,033
R
42.5%Kennedy117,222
57.5%Nixon158,555
0.1%
R+15.0
D+8.2
R+15.1
275,971
R
38.4%Stevenson76,128
61.5%Eisenhower122,138
0.1%
R+23.2
R+6.2
R+7.8
198,500
R
41.5%Stevenson74,649
58.5%Eisenhower105,190
0.0%
R+17.0
R+26.7
R+6.2
179,839
D
53.7%Truman63,974
44.0%Dewey52,423
2.3%
D+9.7
R+7.5
D+5.2
119,132
D
58.4%Roosevelt54,984
41.2%Dewey38,780
0.4%
D+17.2
R+9.2
D+9.7
94,099
D
62.9%Roosevelt64,841
36.5%Willkie37,641
0.6%
D+26.4
R+16.4
D+16.4
103,082
D
69.5%Roosevelt59,512
26.8%Landon22,906
3.7%
D+42.8
D+6.0
D+18.5
85,618
D
67.4%Roosevelt54,065
30.6%Hoover24,567
1.9%
D+36.8
D+53.0
D+19.0
80,184
R
41.8%Smith25,957
58.0%Hoover36,038
0.2%
R+16.2
R+10.8
D+1.2
62,089
R
36.3%Davis18,073
41.7%Coolidge20,766
21.9%
R+5.4
D+5.6
D+19.8
49,759
R
44.5%Cox20,160
55.5%Harding25,148
0.0%
R+11.0
R+35.3
D+15.2
45,308
D
58.3%Wilson22,280
34.0%Hughes13,001
7.7%
D+24.3
R+6.7
D+21.1
38,205
D
44.3%Wilson6,876
13.3%Taft2,063
42.4%
D+31.0
—
D+11.5
15,508
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
No data
—
—
—
voter registration
Registered voters
By party of registration, over time
Party registration · 2026R+10.9
vs
Presidential vote · 2024R+9.2
Registration and the presidential vote track closely here — within 1.7 points.
Domestic migration in Phoenix (Prescott) in Phoenix (Prescott): net domestic migration by year
Year
Net domestic migration
2011
+6,839
2012
+36,721
2013
+33,075
2014
+45,300
2015
+51,942
2016
+61,758
2017
+58,209
2018
+74,976
2019
+82,823
2021
+76,895
2022
+60,668
2023
+30,229
2024
+29,841
2025
+29,238
The Prescott-centered market draws heavily from retirement in-migration across Yavapai County, producing an older, predominantly white electorate that has consistently delivered lopsided margins in statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 42.8 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 40.6 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the market moved 5.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.2 points.
A population of 5,866,774, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $84,983 describe the market. The market's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Houston and Tucson (Sierra Vista).
Akashic
Political twins — media markets
The media markets whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/dma/753/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Embed this page
A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →
In 2024, Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona voted Republican by 9.2 points (R+9.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,698,314 votes cast, 1,211,154 went Democratic and 1,458,398 went Republican.
When did Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona voted Democratic was 1948.
How many people live in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona has a population of 5,866,774 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Median household income in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona is $84,983 — above the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Phoenix (Prescott), Arizona from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.
