Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic43.6%873TrumpRepublican55.2%1,104OtherAll other candidates1.1%23
R+11.6
Lead
231
Total
2,000
vs nation
R+10.1
BidenDemocratic46.8%1,114TrumpRepublican51.4%1,223OtherAll other candidates1.8%42
R+4.6
Lead
109
Total
2,379
vs nation
R+9.0
ClintonDemocratic44.2%833TrumpRepublican50.6%954OtherAll other candidates5.2%99
R+6.4
Lead
121
Total
1,886
vs nation
R+8.5
ObamaDemocratic51.2%955RomneyRepublican47.1%879OtherAll other candidates1.7%32
D+4.1
Lead
76
Total
1,866
vs nation
D+0.2
ObamaDemocratic51.2%1,021McCainRepublican46.4%925OtherAll other candidates2.4%47
D+4.8
Lead
96
Total
1,993
vs nation
R+2.5
KerryDemocratic49.5%995BushRepublican47.6%956OtherAll other candidates2.9%58
D+1.9
Lead
39
Total
2,009
vs nation
D+4.4
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+11.6MIT Election Lab
Population
3,5842024 5-year
Population density
1,792 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
2 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$87,8002024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.5%2024 5-year
Black
1.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
2.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+4.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+11.6 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes.
2020–20243 cycles · 3 audited
2024 turnout
63.6%2,026 participants ÷ 3,184 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+21.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+0.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
41.9%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm
0%20%40%60%80%
51.9%
202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,026
3,184 ± 545
63.6%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,716
3,307 ± 536
51.9%
Audited
E/D
2,446
3,321 ± 406
73.7%
Audited
E/D
Sources and methods
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
presidential history
Party record book
Highland-on-the-Lake, NY · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
51.2%
1,021 votes · D+4.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 51.2%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
55.2%
1,104 votes · R+11.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 51.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
1,114votes
46.8% of the vote · R+4.6
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 1,021 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,223votes
51.4% of the vote · R+4.6
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,104 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
+4.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+1.9 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · +0.2 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+10.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+11.6 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +9.0 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Highland-on-the-Lake · which candidate this place backed in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain. The figures below are Erie County, New York, the county containing Highland-on-the-Lake — Highland-on-the-Lake’s own primary vote sits inside those totals and is not separately reported.
Presidential nominating contests in Highland-on-the-Lake, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Highland-on-the-Lake sits in the Mid-Atlantic. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 11.6 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 11.6 points.
A population of 3,584, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $87,800 describe the city.
How did Highland-on-the-Lake, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Highland-on-the-Lake, New York voted Republican by 11.6 points (R+11.6), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,000 votes cast, 873 went Democratic and 1,104 went Republican.
When did Highland-on-the-Lake, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Highland-on-the-Lake, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Highland-on-the-Lake, New York?
Highland-on-the-Lake, New York has a population of 3,584 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Highland-on-the-Lake, New York?
Median household income in Highland-on-the-Lake, New York is $87,800 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Highland-on-the-Lake, New York?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Highland-on-the-Lake, New York from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 3 went Democratic and 3 went Republican.
