HarrisDemocratic16.0%949TrumpRepublican81.9%4,854KennedyIndependent1.3%75
R+65.9- Lead
- 3,905
- Total
- 5,925
- vs nation
- R+64.4
- Turnout
- 52.0%
Akashiccounty
Izard County, AR
Contests in this Place (86 available)
President34 · 1892–2024 · 3 mapped
▦ precinct · ▥ counties · ▢ no spatial detail
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 52.0% of 11,463 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic17.6%1,021TrumpRepublican79.7%4,631JorgensenLibertarian0.9%55
R+62.1- Lead
- 3,610
- Total
- 5,810
- vs nation
- R+66.6
- Turnout
- 52.0%
ClintonDemocratic21.1%1,113TrumpRepublican76.6%4,042JohnsonLibertarian2.4%125
R+55.5- Lead
- 2,929
- Total
- 5,280
- vs nation
- R+57.6
- Turnout
- 51.0%
ObamaDemocratic28.9%1,524RomneyRepublican67.7%3,575GrayLibertarian1.9%99
R+38.9- Lead
- 2,051
- Total
- 5,278
- vs nation
- R+42.7
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic34.3%1,792McCainRepublican61.2%3,193OtherAll other candidates4.5%233
R+26.8- Lead
- 1,401
- Total
- 5,218
- vs nation
- R+34.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic47.1%2,586BushRepublican51.6%2,833OtherAll other candidates1.3%74
R+4.5- Lead
- 247
- Total
- 5,493
- vs nation
- R+2.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic51.4%2,587BushRepublican45.7%2,301NaderGreen1.5%76
D+5.7- Lead
- 286
- Total
- 5,032
- vs nation
- D+5.2
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic55.1%2,818DoleRepublican32.8%1,678PerotReform10.6%541
D+22.3- Lead
- 1,140
- Total
- 5,113
- vs nation
- D+13.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+65.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,0092024 5-year
- Population density
- 24 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 580 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $49,4052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 87.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+71.4 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+65.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Decatur County, TN · twin score 96.7
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2004–20248 cycles · 5 audited
- 2024 turnout
- 52.0%5,964 participants ÷ 11,463 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +10.2 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off vs state
- -4.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026
- 41.8%–42.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
| Cycle | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Series | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5,964 | 11,463 ± 133 | 52.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 2022Mid | 4,724 | 11,305 ± 152 | 41.8% | Audited | C/A |
| 5,810 | 11,169 ± 156 | 52.0% | Audited | C/A | |
| 2018Mid | 4,509 | 10,957 ± 168 | 41.2% | Audited | A/A |
| 5,526 | 10,833 ± 81 | 51.0% | Audited | A/A | |
| 5,278 | 10,955 | 48.2% | Derived | — | |
| 5,218 | 10,409 | 50.1% | Derived | — | |
| 5,493 | 9,863 extrapolated | 55.7% | Derived | — |
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2004, 2008, 2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2008 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
- 2004 (derived): Certified presidential returns · extrapolated CVAP denominator; presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count; 2004 predates the ACS, so the denominator is a linear back-extrapolation from the 2008 and 2012 CVAP values, not a read figure.
Interactive election map
One map. Every available contest.
The map and local result cover Izard County only. The complete contest result is shown below for comparison.
Izard County result
0 precinct units · 0 candidate votes
Fred Love0—
Supha Xayprasith-Mays0—
Governor contest result
Loading the complete contest result…
Explore precinct resultsSearch, sort, compare years, or export CSV · 45 precincts
Precinct data
Results by precinct
45 precincts · 5,925 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Horseshoe Bend Ward 2Horseshoe Bend Ward 2 | 60 | 277 | 10 | 347 | 17.3% | 79.8% | R+62.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Horseshoe Bend Ward 4Horseshoe Bend Ward 4 | 56 | 277 | 9 | 342 | 16.4% | 81.0% | R+64.6 |
| Precinct -Calico Rock RuralCalico Rock Rural | 44 | 233 | 3 | 280 | 15.7% | 83.2% | R+67.5 |
| Precinct -Melbourne Ward 4Melbourne Ward 4 | 44 | 217 | 8 | 269 | 16.4% | 80.7% | R+64.3 |
| Precinct -Horseshoe Bend Ward 3Horseshoe Bend Ward 3 | 56 | 176 | 9 | 241 | 23.2% | 73.0% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -BrockwellBrockwell | 35 | 183 | 8 | 226 | 15.5% | 81.0% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -Melbourne RuralMelbourne Rural | 28 | 192 | 4 | 224 | 12.5% | 85.7% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -Mt. Pleasant RuralMt. Pleasant Rural | 30 | 188 | 2 | 220 | 13.6% | 85.5% | R+71.8 |
| Precinct -Oxford CityOxford City | 25 | 181 | 7 | 213 | 11.7% | 85.0% | R+73.2 |
| Precinct -Melbourne Ward 1Melbourne Ward 1 | 41 | 156 | 2 | 199 | 20.6% | 78.4% | R+57.8 |
| Precinct -ZionZion | 36 | 156 | 0 | 192 | 18.8% | 81.3% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -SageSage | 23 | 153 | 4 | 180 | 12.8% | 85.0% | R+72.2 |
| Precinct -Violet HillViolet Hill | 21 | 151 | 0 | 172 | 12.2% | 87.8% | R+75.6 |
| Precinct -DolphDolph | 27 | 139 | 3 | 169 | 16.0% | 82.2% | R+66.3 |
| Precinct -Mt. Pleasant CityMt. Pleasant City | 16 | 138 | 3 | 157 | 10.2% | 87.9% | R+77.7 |
| Precinct -SylamoreSylamore | 25 | 125 | 3 | 153 | 16.3% | 81.7% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -Horseshoe Bend Ward 1Horseshoe Bend Ward 1 | 34 | 106 | 2 | 142 | 23.9% | 74.6% | R+50.7 |
| Precinct -BoswellBoswell | 26 | 109 | 3 | 138 | 18.8% | 79.0% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -Melbourne Ward 2Melbourne Ward 2 | 27 | 110 | 1 | 138 | 19.6% | 79.7% | R+60.1 |
| Precinct -Oxford RuralOxford Rural | 18 | 108 | 4 | 130 | 13.8% | 83.1% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -GidGid | 10 | 106 | 4 | 120 | 8.3% | 88.3% | R+80.0 |
| Precinct -Calico Rock Ward 2Calico Rock Ward 2 | 15 | 96 | 3 | 114 | 13.2% | 84.2% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -StrawberryStrawberry | 19 | 92 | 0 | 111 | 17.1% | 82.9% | R+65.8 |
| Precinct -LacrosseLacrosse | 21 | 82 | 5 | 108 | 19.4% | 75.9% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -Big SpringBig Spring | 18 | 88 | 1 | 107 | 16.8% | 82.2% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -Melbourne Ward 3Melbourne Ward 3 | 20 | 74 | 7 | 101 | 19.8% | 73.3% | R+53.5 |
| Precinct -Calico Rock Ward 3Calico Rock Ward 3 | 12 | 84 | 4 | 100 | 12.0% | 84.0% | R+72.0 |
| Precinct -Pineville RuralPineville Rural | 8 | 84 | 2 | 94 | 8.5% | 89.4% | R+80.9 |
| Precinct -Calico Rock Ward 4Calico Rock Ward 4 | 19 | 68 | 3 | 90 | 21.1% | 75.6% | R+54.4 |
| Precinct -ClaiborneClaiborne | 11 | 77 | 1 | 89 | 12.4% | 86.5% | R+74.2 |
| Precinct -Franklin RuralFranklin Rural | 15 | 69 | 1 | 85 | 17.6% | 81.2% | R+63.5 |
| Precinct -Franklin CityFranklin City | 9 | 71 | 0 | 80 | 11.3% | 88.8% | R+77.5 |
| Precinct -NewburgNewburg | 14 | 64 | 0 | 78 | 17.9% | 82.1% | R+64.1 |
| Precinct -Pineville CityPineville City | 18 | 54 | 0 | 72 | 25.0% | 75.0% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -LarkinLarkin | 5 | 58 | 2 | 65 | 7.7% | 89.2% | R+81.5 |
| Precinct -Twin CreekTwin Creek | 18 | 45 | 1 | 64 | 28.1% | 70.3% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -WisemanWiseman | 10 | 53 | 0 | 63 | 15.9% | 84.1% | R+68.3 |
| Precinct -MyronMyron | 8 | 42 | 1 | 51 | 15.7% | 82.4% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -WidemanWideman | 2 | 40 | 0 | 42 | 4.8% | 95.2% | R+90.5 |
| Precinct -Calico Rock Ward 1Calico Rock Ward 1 | 9 | 29 | 2 | 40 | 22.5% | 72.5% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -LaffertyLafferty | 0 | 37 | 0 | 37 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -Guion CityGuion City | 4 | 26 | 0 | 30 | 13.3% | 86.7% | R+73.3 |
| Precinct -Horseshoe Bend RuralHorseshoe Bend Rural | 9 | 16 | 0 | 25 | 36.0% | 64.0% | R+28.0 |
| Precinct -Guion RuralGuion Rural | 1 | 13 | 0 | 14 | 7.1% | 92.9% | R+85.7 |
| Precinct -Knob CreekKnob Creek | 2 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 15.4% | 84.6% | R+69.2 |
presidential history
Party record book
Izard County, AR · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
85.3%
1,227 votes · D+71.4
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · 83.0%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
81.9%
4,854 votes · R+65.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 79.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
3,419votes
61.2% of the vote · D+33.8
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1976 · 3,328 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
4,854votes
81.9% of the vote · R+65.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 4,631 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+73.9pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +73.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+66.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+62.1 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +64.4 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJohn PaytonState Senate · 22
RScott FlippoState Senate · 23
RSteven WalkerState House · 27
Seats representing Izard County, AR. A county elects none of these itself — they are the members for the 1 congressional, 2 state senate and 1 state house districts it falls inside, so parts of the county are represented by different members.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 14.5%812 | 85.5%4,784 | 5,596 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 100.0%5,255 | 5,255 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 8,097 |
| 2020 | 9,008 |
| 2022 | 9,612 |
| 2024 | 10,480 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+209 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +1,945 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,099 in average income, against $56,671 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+59.6 on average — 6.4 points more Democratic-leaning than Izard County, AR itself (R+65.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Baxter County, AR35R+56.8
- Independence County, AR31R+59.5
- Sharp County, AR31R+62.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Baxter County, AR34
- Independence County, AR34
- Sharp County, AR30
- Fulton County, AR27
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −76 |
| 2012 | +16 |
| 2013 | −60 |
| 2014 | +205 |
| 2015 | +26 |
| 2016 | +61 |
| 2017 | +254 |
| 2018 | −8 |
| 2019 | +113 |
| 2021 | +500 |
| 2022 | +229 |
| 2023 | +272 |
| 2024 | +204 |
| 2025 | +209 |
Izard County, tucked in the Ozark foothills along the Missouri border, recorded an R+65.9 presidential margin in 2024, making it among the most one-sided counties in the state despite a population of just over 13,000.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 71.4 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 65.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 65.9 points.
A population of 14,009, a 87% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,405 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Decatur County and Van Buren County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Decatur County
Tennessee
96.7twin score
elasticity2000–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Van Buren County
Arkansas
95.2twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Fulton County
Arkansas
93.8twin score
elasticity12-yr trend2020–2024 trajectory≠ French ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Izard County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05065/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Izard County
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Izard County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Izard County, Arkansas voted Republican by 65.9 points (R+65.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,925 votes cast, 949 went Democratic and 4,854 went Republican.
When did Izard County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Izard County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2000.
How many people live in Izard County, Arkansas?
Izard County, Arkansas has a population of 14,009 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Izard County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Izard County, Arkansas is $49,405 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Izard County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Izard County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 24 went Democratic and 9 went Republican.