Lawrence County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
28 precincts · 5,692 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -12 - Campbell #412 - Campbell #4 | 100 | 437 | 22 | 559 | 17.9% | 78.2% | R+60.3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -10 - Campbell #210 - Campbell #2 | 103 | 437 | 10 | 550 | 18.7% | 79.5% | R+60.7 |
| Precinct -09 - Campbell #109 - Campbell #1 | 114 | 388 | 12 | 514 | 22.2% | 75.5% | R+53.3 |
| Precinct -04 - Black Rock04 - Black Rock | 59 | 350 | 5 | 414 | 14.3% | 84.5% | R+70.3 |
| Precinct -13 - Dent13 - Dent | 49 | 304 | 4 | 357 | 13.7% | 85.2% | R+71.4 |
| Precinct -11 - Campbell #311 - Campbell #3 | 75 | 245 | 9 | 329 | 22.8% | 74.5% | R+51.7 |
| Precinct -05 - Boas #105 - Boas #1 | 55 | 238 | 5 | 298 | 18.5% | 79.9% | R+61.4 |
| Precinct -21 - Morgan21 - Morgan | 38 | 197 | 4 | 239 | 15.9% | 82.4% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -03 - Black River03 - Black River | 37 | 191 | 3 | 231 | 16.0% | 82.7% | R+66.7 |
| Precinct -06 - Boas #206 - Boas #2 | 51 | 171 | 5 | 227 | 22.5% | 75.3% | R+52.9 |
| Precinct -07 - Boas #307 - Boas #3 | 36 | 176 | 4 | 216 | 16.7% | 81.5% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -24 - Reeds Creek Strawberry24 - Reeds Creek Strawberry | 23 | 158 | 2 | 183 | 12.6% | 86.3% | R+73.8 |
| Precinct -27 - Strawberry27 - Strawberry | 18 | 165 | 0 | 183 | 9.8% | 90.2% | R+80.3 |
| Precinct -15 - Duty15 - Duty | 41 | 115 | 8 | 164 | 25.0% | 70.1% | R+45.1 |
| Precinct -01 - Annieville01 - Annieville | 17 | 136 | 2 | 155 | 11.0% | 87.7% | R+76.8 |
| Precinct -26 - Spring River26 - Spring River | 28 | 101 | 4 | 133 | 21.1% | 75.9% | R+54.9 |
| Precinct -28 - Thacker28 - Thacker | 22 | 107 | 1 | 130 | 16.9% | 82.3% | R+65.4 |
| Precinct -23 - Reeds Creek Saffell23 - Reeds Creek Saffell | 7 | 116 | 4 | 127 | 5.5% | 91.3% | R+85.8 |
| Precinct -22 - Promised Land22 - Promised Land | 17 | 103 | 2 | 122 | 13.9% | 84.4% | R+70.5 |
| Precinct -16 - Eaton16 - Eaton | 12 | 100 | 1 | 113 | 10.6% | 88.5% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -02 - Ashland02 - Ashland | 10 | 63 | 6 | 79 | 12.7% | 79.7% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -19 - Lawrence19 - Lawrence | 14 | 51 | 1 | 66 | 21.2% | 77.3% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -20 - Marion20 - Marion | 11 | 53 | 2 | 66 | 16.7% | 80.3% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -18 - Jesup18 - Jesup | 3 | 50 | 1 | 54 | 5.6% | 92.6% | R+87.0 |
| Precinct -17 - Flat Creek17 - Flat Creek | 7 | 44 | 1 | 52 | 13.5% | 84.6% | R+71.2 |
| Precinct -08 - Cache08 - Cache | 3 | 44 | 1 | 48 | 6.3% | 91.7% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -14 - Dowell14 - Dowell | 8 | 37 | 0 | 45 | 17.8% | 82.2% | R+64.4 |
| Precinct -25 - Richwoods25 - Richwoods | 7 | 31 | 0 | 38 | 18.4% | 81.6% | R+63.2 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +44.9% |
| 1896 | +65.4% |
| 1900 | +33.4% |
| 1904 | +11.0% |
| 1908 | +33.0% |
| 1912 | +49.4% |
| 1916 | +70.3% |
| 1920 | +40.6% |
| 1924 | +38.0% |
| 1928 | +21.7% |
| 1932 | +81.0% |
| 1936 | +65.6% |
| 1940 | +48.6% |
| 1944 | +32.2% |
| 1948 | +56.3% |
| 1952 | +16.5% |
| 1956 | +18.2% |
| 1960 | +6.7% |
| 1964 | +26.8% |
| 1968 | −2.8% |
| 1972 | −38.9% |
| 1976 | +50.3% |
| 1980 | +4.3% |
| 1984 | −21.6% |
| 1988 | −0.4% |
| 1992 | +29.2% |
| 1996 | +29.8% |
| 2000 | +10.4% |
| 2004 | +9.0% |
| 2008 | −20.9% |
| 2012 | −31.6% |
| 2016 | −51.0% |
| 2020 | −59.6% |
| 2024 | −64.0% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 15.9%729 | 80.7%3,692 | 4,576 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 82.6%4,768 | 5,771 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 9,101 |
| 2020 | 8,502 |
| 2022 | 8,491 |
| 2024 | 8,525 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+182 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −122 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $38,767 in average income, against $58,435 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+52.0 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Lawrence County, AR itself (R+64.0).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Craighead County, AR102R+37.4
- Randolph County, AR74R+63.7
- Greene County, AR31R+61.2
- Sharp County, AR30R+62.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Randolph County, AR95
- Craighead County, AR92
- Sharp County, AR42
- Greene County, AR33
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −175 |
| 2012 | −189 |
| 2013 | +48 |
| 2014 | −18 |
| 2015 | −248 |
| 2016 | +1 |
| 2017 | +6 |
| 2018 | −83 |
| 2019 | +32 |
| 2021 | +153 |
| 2022 | −89 |
| 2023 | +130 |
| 2024 | +128 |
| 2025 | +182 |
Lawrence County's R+64 margin in 2024 places it among the most one-sided counties in the state, a pattern consistent with the broader shift of rural, majority-white counties in the Arkansas Ozarks foothills toward supermajority Republican alignment over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.0 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 64.0 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 64.0 points.
A population of 16,238, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $44,882 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clay County and Randolph County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Lawrence County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.