Lawrence County, Arkansas: Appalachian Realigners county. In 2024, voted R+64%. Democratic peak: D+81 in 1932.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+64MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Appalachian RealignersAkashic typology
- Population
- 16,2382024 5-year
- Median household income
- $44,8822024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+81 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Randolph County, AR · similarity 1.00
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Lawrence CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Lawrence County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +44.9% |
| 1896 | +65.4% |
| 1900 | +33.4% |
| 1904 | +11.0% |
| 1908 | +33.0% |
| 1912 | +49.4% |
| 1916 | +70.3% |
| 1920 | +40.6% |
| 1924 | +38.0% |
| 1928 | +21.7% |
| 1932 | +81.0% |
| 1936 | +65.6% |
| 1940 | +48.6% |
| 1944 | +32.2% |
| 1948 | +56.3% |
| 1952 | +16.5% |
| 1956 | +18.2% |
| 1960 | +6.7% |
| 1964 | +26.8% |
| 1968 | −2.8% |
| 1972 | −38.9% |
| 1976 | +50.3% |
| 1980 | +4.3% |
| 1984 | −21.6% |
| 1988 | −0.4% |
| 1992 | +29.2% |
| 1996 | +29.8% |
| 2000 | +10.4% |
| 2004 | +9.0% |
| 2008 | −20.9% |
| 2012 | −31.6% |
| 2016 | −51.0% |
| 2020 | −59.6% |
| 2024 | −64.0% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 965 | 4,608 | 5,692 | ||
| R | 1,080 | 4,569 | 5,857 | ||
| R | 1,263 | 4,064 | 5,492 | ||
| R | 1,788 | 3,536 | 5,540 | ||
| R | 2,138 | 3,357 | 5,830 | ||
| D | 3,544 | 2,951 | 6,615 | ||
| D | 3,255 | 2,626 | 6,040 | ||
| D | 3,652 | 1,823 | 6,141 | ||
| D | 4,146 | 2,124 | 6,929 | ||
| R | 3,179 | 3,205 | 6,421 | ||
| R | 2,594 | 4,039 | 6,676 | ||
| D | 3,547 | 3,245 | 6,963 | ||
| D | 5,167 | 1,708 | 6,882 | ||
| R | 1,751 | 3,981 | 5,732 | ||
| O | 1,613 | 1,788 | 6,214 | ||
| D | 3,498 | 2,013 | 5,538 | ||
| D | 2,074 | 1,800 | 4,065 | ||
| D | 2,303 | 1,584 | 3,948 | ||
| D | 2,206 | 1,570 | 3,844 | ||
| D | 2,001 | 497 | 2,672 | ||
| D | 1,810 | 927 | 2,740 | ||
| D | 2,484 | 852 | 3,360 | ||
| D | 2,230 | 457 | 2,703 | ||
| D | 3,056 | 293 | 3,413 | ||
| D | 1,204 | 774 | 1,983 | ||
| D | 689 | 261 | 1,126 | ||
| D | 1,686 | 699 | 2,434 | ||
| D | 1,706 | 298 | 2,004 | ||
| D | 929 | 218 | 1,439 | ||
| D | 1,188 | 583 | 1,834 | ||
| D | 672 | 534 | 1,259 | ||
| D | 958 | 476 | 1,444 | ||
| D | 1,679 | 337 | 2,053 | ||
| D | 1,220 | 418 | 1,788 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
English
21.5%
American
13.2%
Irish
7.5%
German
6.9%
Italian
1.5%
Scottish
1.1%
Polish
0.6%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 40.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$44,882
Lawrence County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties.
Lawrence County$44,882
Arkansas$60,773
United States$80,734
Lawrence County ranks in the bottom 10% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
20.1%
Children face higher poverty than working-age adults.
Children under 1825.9%
Working age (18–64)18.5%
Seniors (65+)17.7%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
97.9%
speak English only
Spanish1.3%
Other Indo-European0.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander0.2%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Lawrence County's R+64 margin in 2024 places it among the most one-sided counties in the state, a pattern consistent with the broader shift of rural, majority-white counties in the Arkansas Ozarks foothills toward supermajority Republican alignment over the past two decades.
The unraveling was not abrupt. The Democratic margin peaked at eighty-one points in 1932 and narrowed across the late twentieth century. The 2008 election carried the county to the Republican party for the first time in many years, by twenty-one points. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved four points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was sixty-four points.
The economic context is severe: a median household income of $44,882 — among the lowest at this geographic scale — and a 20% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Randolph County and Poinsett County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lawrence County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05075/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
More appalachian realigners counties
Frequently asked questions
How did Lawrence County, Arkansas vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lawrence County, Arkansas voted Republican by 64.0 points (R+64), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 5,692 votes cast, 965 went Democratic and 4,608 went Republican.
What is Lawrence County, Arkansas's political typology?
Akashic places Lawrence County, Arkansas in the "Appalachian Realigners" typology — Lower-income counties of Greater Appalachia — a long, deep arc from Democratic to Republican. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 25 times, Republican 8 times, and other 1 times.
When did Lawrence County, Arkansas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lawrence County, Arkansas voted Democratic was 2004.
How many people live in Lawrence County, Arkansas?
Lawrence County, Arkansas has a population of 16,238 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lawrence County, Arkansas?
Median household income in Lawrence County, Arkansas is $44,882 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Lawrence County, Arkansas?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Lawrence County, Arkansas from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 8 went Republican. The county's typology — "Appalachian Realigners" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.