Scott County, Arkansas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
26 precincts · 3,384 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -11 - Hickman Rural East11 - Hickman Rural East | 30 | 295 | 3 | 328 | 9.1% | 89.9% | R+80.8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -09 - Hickman Ward 209 - Hickman Ward 2 | 45 | 256 | 4 | 305 | 14.8% | 83.9% | R+69.2 |
| Precinct -08 - Hickman Ward 108 - Hickman Ward 1 | 51 | 230 | 4 | 285 | 17.9% | 80.7% | R+62.8 |
| Precinct -20 - Lewis 120 - Lewis 1 | 40 | 222 | 2 | 264 | 15.2% | 84.1% | R+68.9 |
| Precinct -10 - Hickman Ward 310 - Hickman Ward 3 | 41 | 151 | 4 | 196 | 20.9% | 77.0% | R+56.1 |
| Precinct -21 - Lewis 221 - Lewis 2 | 20 | 172 | 3 | 195 | 10.3% | 88.2% | R+77.9 |
| Precinct -12 - Hickman Rural West12 - Hickman Rural West | 22 | 155 | 5 | 182 | 12.1% | 85.2% | R+73.1 |
| Precinct -24 - Mt. Pleasant24 - Mt. Pleasant | 11 | 145 | 2 | 158 | 7.0% | 91.8% | R+84.8 |
| Precinct -18 - Lamb18 - Lamb | 15 | 122 | 6 | 143 | 10.5% | 85.3% | R+74.8 |
| Precinct -23 - Mountain23 - Mountain | 19 | 123 | 1 | 143 | 13.3% | 86.0% | R+72.7 |
| Precinct -26 - Tomlinson/Tate26 - Tomlinson/Tate | 25 | 112 | 3 | 140 | 17.9% | 80.0% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -22 - Mill Creek22 - Mill Creek | 9 | 121 | 0 | 130 | 6.9% | 93.1% | R+86.2 |
| Precinct -07 - Denton07 - Denton | 20 | 104 | 1 | 125 | 16.0% | 83.2% | R+67.2 |
| Precinct -06 - Coal/Lafayette06 - Coal/Lafayette | 6 | 102 | 0 | 108 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.9 |
| Precinct -13 - Hon13 - Hon | 12 | 88 | 0 | 100 | 12.0% | 88.0% | R+76.0 |
| Precinct -14 - Hunt14 - Hunt | 7 | 84 | 0 | 91 | 7.7% | 92.3% | R+84.6 |
| Precinct -02 - Blansett02 - Blansett | 1 | 77 | 0 | 78 | 1.3% | 98.7% | R+97.4 |
| Precinct -04 - Cauthron/Oliver04 - Cauthron/Oliver | 9 | 48 | 0 | 57 | 15.8% | 84.2% | R+68.4 |
| Precinct -25 - Parks25 - Parks | 12 | 43 | 1 | 56 | 21.4% | 76.8% | R+55.4 |
| Precinct -17 - Keener17 - Keener | 10 | 45 | 0 | 55 | 18.2% | 81.8% | R+63.6 |
| Precinct -15 - James15 - James | 4 | 47 | 0 | 51 | 7.8% | 92.2% | R+84.3 |
| Precinct -16 - Jones/Little Texas16 - Jones/Little Texas | 0 | 48 | 2 | 50 | 0.0% | 96.0% | R+96.0 |
| Precinct -05 - Cedar Creek05 - Cedar Creek | 10 | 31 | 3 | 44 | 22.7% | 70.5% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -19 - Lafave19 - Lafave | 3 | 40 | 1 | 44 | 6.8% | 90.9% | R+84.1 |
| Precinct -03 - Brawley03 - Brawley | 3 | 26 | 0 | 29 | 10.3% | 89.7% | R+79.3 |
| Precinct -01 - Blackfork01 - Blackfork | 0 | 26 | 1 | 27 | 0.0% | 96.3% | R+96.3 |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +36.4% |
| 1896 | +63.8% |
| 1900 | +39.4% |
| 1904 | +0.0% |
| 1908 | +25.8% |
| 1912 | +35.0% |
| 1916 | +45.4% |
| 1920 | +1.2% |
| 1924 | +20.6% |
| 1928 | +21.6% |
| 1932 | +66.2% |
| 1936 | +51.5% |
| 1940 | +47.2% |
| 1944 | +44.1% |
| 1948 | +59.2% |
| 1952 | +14.5% |
| 1956 | −13.4% |
| 1960 | −0.9% |
| 1964 | +24.2% |
| 1968 | −4.8% |
| 1972 | −51.7% |
| 1976 | +33.7% |
| 1980 | +0.2% |
| 1984 | −30.9% |
| 1988 | −18.8% |
| 1992 | +11.7% |
| 1996 | +19.4% |
| 2000 | −24.0% |
| 2004 | −25.8% |
| 2008 | −43.5% |
| 2012 | −47.6% |
| 2016 | −62.3% |
| 2020 | −69.8% |
| 2024 | −73.5% |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | R | 11.8%349 | 84.6%2,497 | 2,950 |
| 2020 | R | 0.0%0 | 85.6%3,017 | 3,525 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 5,154 |
| 2020 | 5,169 |
| 2022 | 5,291 |
| 2024 | 5,009 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+155 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −555 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,389 in average income, against $48,824 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+37.5 on average — 36 points more Democratic-leaning than Scott County, AR itself (R+73.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Sebastian County, AR66R+37.5
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Sebastian County, AR68
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −25 |
| 2012 | −266 |
| 2013 | −79 |
| 2014 | −240 |
| 2015 | −143 |
| 2016 | −206 |
| 2017 | +73 |
| 2018 | −41 |
| 2019 | −48 |
| 2021 | +22 |
| 2022 | +57 |
| 2023 | +105 |
| 2024 | +81 |
| 2025 | +155 |
Scott County's R+73.5 margin in 2024 places it among the most one-sided rural counties in the state, reflecting a largely white, working-class Ouachita foothills population that has shifted decisively away from competitive voting over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 66.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 73.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 73.5 points.
A population of 9,816, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $43,270 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pike County and Hardin County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Scott County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05127/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.