Orange County, New York: New American county. In 2024, voted R+8%. Republican peak: R+55 in 1956.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+8MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- New AmericanAkashic typology
- Population
- 406,6162024 5-year
- Median household income
- $97,1782024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 62.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 23.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+22 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+55 in 1956MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Warren County, NY · similarity 0.95
2024 results by precinct
2024 precinct map of Orange CountyPrecinct-level 2024 presidential results for Orange County, with each precinct boundary colored by Democratic-vs-Republican margin.
—
Margin—
Turnout—
Harris +50Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | −2.9% |
| 1896 | −21.6% |
| 1900 | −16.0% |
| 1904 | −17.4% |
| 1908 | −17.7% |
| 1912 | −4.0% |
| 1916 | −14.1% |
| 1920 | −37.7% |
| 1924 | −45.1% |
| 1928 | −31.4% |
| 1932 | −14.2% |
| 1936 | −10.9% |
| 1940 | −16.9% |
| 1944 | −23.7% |
| 1948 | −29.0% |
| 1952 | −42.6% |
| 1956 | −55.1% |
| 1960 | −21.4% |
| 1964 | +22.3% |
| 1968 | −21.0% |
| 1972 | −42.2% |
| 1976 | −10.3% |
| 1980 | −23.5% |
| 1984 | −35.9% |
| 1988 | −25.7% |
| 1992 | −6.2% |
| 1996 | +7.9% |
| 2000 | −3.7% |
| 2004 | −10.8% |
| 2008 | +4.1% |
| 2012 | +5.7% |
| 2016 | −5.5% |
| 2020 | −0.1% |
| 2024 | −8.4% |
DemocraticRepublican
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 80,253 | 94,936 | 175,660 | ||
| R | 84,955 | 85,068 | 172,539 | ||
| R | 68,278 | 76,645 | 152,021 | ||
| D | 73,315 | 65,367 | 140,628 | ||
| D | 78,326 | 72,042 | 151,982 | ||
| R | 63,394 | 79,089 | 144,673 | ||
| R | 58,170 | 62,852 | 126,557 | ||
| D | 54,995 | 45,956 | 114,538 | ||
| R | 45,946 | 53,493 | 122,520 | ||
| R | 38,465 | 65,446 | 104,810 | ||
| R | 32,663 | 69,413 | 102,413 | ||
| R | 30,022 | 51,268 | 90,470 | ||
| R | 40,362 | 49,685 | 90,673 | ||
| R | 25,778 | 63,556 | 89,515 | ||
| R | 28,122 | 44,955 | 80,149 | ||
| D | 48,244 | 30,610 | 78,924 | ||
| R | 31,471 | 48,646 | 80,182 | ||
| R | 16,722 | 57,739 | 74,461 | ||
| R | 20,585 | 51,217 | 71,949 | ||
| R | 20,638 | 38,351 | 61,031 | ||
| R | 24,059 | 39,041 | 63,262 | ||
| R | 27,632 | 38,913 | 66,690 | ||
| R | 27,528 | 34,428 | 63,276 | ||
| R | 22,971 | 30,687 | 54,423 | ||
| R | 19,047 | 37,334 | 58,240 | ||
| R | 9,765 | 29,184 | 43,083 | ||
| R | 10,567 | 24,558 | 37,135 | ||
| R | 10,198 | 13,619 | 24,295 | ||
| R | 9,404 | 10,364 | 24,026 | ||
| R | 9,938 | 14,414 | 25,276 | ||
| R | 9,882 | 14,222 | 24,983 | ||
| R | 10,180 | 14,137 | 24,749 | ||
| R | 8,971 | 14,086 | 23,667 | ||
| R | 10,421 | 11,081 | 22,754 | ||
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Demographics
2024 ACS
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
Irish
13.2%
Italian
12.3%
German
9.0%
American
5.0%
English
4.8%
Polish
3.3%
French
1.0%
African American
9.3%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
2024 ACS
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 37.0 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Median household income
Inflation-adjusted dollars
$97,178
Orange County ranks in the top 5% of US counties.
Orange County$97,178
New York$85,974
United States$80,734
Orange County ranks in the top 5% of US counties by median household income.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.6%
Children face moderate poverty.
Children under 1818.0%
Working age (18–64)10.7%
Seniors (65+)12.2%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
2024 ACS
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
69.8%
speak English only
Spanish15.1%
Other Indo-European12.6%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.6%
Other languages0.9%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
2020 religion census
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.7% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Once a marginal swing county, Orange has moved consistently toward Republican presidential candidates since 2004, driven partly by an influx of transplants from New York City's suburbs and a large Orthodox Jewish community concentrated around Kiryas Joel.
Orange County has leaned Republican in recent presidential elections, reaching a Democratic margin of twenty-two points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 it moved eight points toward the Republican candidate — part of the sharpest rightward shift recorded among any group of places in the country.
Its demographics describe the shift: a 62% non-Hispanic-white share, a median household income of $97,178, and a population of 406,616. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Warren County and Essex County.
Most similar counties
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Orange County, New York. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/36071/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
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Frequently asked questions
How did Orange County, New York vote in 2024?
In 2024, Orange County, New York voted Republican by 8.4 points (R+8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 175,660 votes cast, 80,253 went Democratic and 94,936 went Republican.
What is Orange County, New York's political typology?
Akashic places Orange County, New York in the "New American" typology — Communities where a large share of households speak a language other than English — multilingual, Democratic-leaning overall, yet the hardest-swinging bloc toward the Republican Party in 2024. The typology is a data-driven cluster built from vote share, vote swing, race and ethnicity, income, language spoken at home, religion, and ancestry. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the county has voted Democratic 4 times, Republican 30 times, and other 0 times.
When did Orange County, New York last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Orange County, New York voted Democratic was 2012.
How many people live in Orange County, New York?
Orange County, New York has a population of 406,616 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Orange County, New York?
Median household income in Orange County, New York is $97,178 — above the national median of $80,734. The New York state median is $85,974.
What is the political history of Orange County, New York?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Orange County, New York from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 4 went Democratic and 30 went Republican. The county's typology — "New American" — captures where that record, its demographics, and its recent swing place it among American communities.