Refugio County, Texas
Precinct data
Results by precinct
10 precincts · 3,075 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Precinct 2Precinct 2 | 114 | 493 | 4 | 611 | 18.7% | 80.7% | R+62.0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Precinct 3APrecinct 3A | 91 | 359 | 0 | 450 | 20.2% | 79.8% | R+59.6 |
| Precinct -Precinct 3Precinct 3 | 83 | 299 | 5 | 387 | 21.4% | 77.3% | R+55.8 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4Precinct 4 | 166 | 129 | 2 | 297 | 55.9% | 43.4% | D+12.5 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1APrecinct 1A | 134 | 152 | 2 | 288 | 46.5% | 52.8% | R+6.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 1Precinct 1 | 119 | 154 | 3 | 276 | 43.1% | 55.8% | R+12.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4APrecinct 4A | 98 | 159 | 0 | 257 | 38.1% | 61.9% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2BPrecinct 2B | 60 | 153 | 2 | 215 | 27.9% | 71.2% | R+43.3 |
| Precinct -Precinct 2APrecinct 2A | 16 | 149 | 1 | 166 | 9.6% | 89.8% | R+80.1 |
| Precinct -Precinct 4BPrecinct 4B | 38 | 87 | 3 | 128 | 29.7% | 68.0% | R+38.3 |
Presidential margin, 1904–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1904 | +25.5% |
| 1908 | −12.4% |
| 1912 | +22.4% |
| 1916 | +25.3% |
| 1920 | −20.6% |
| 1924 | +35.2% |
| 1928 | +27.3% |
| 1932 | +73.8% |
| 1936 | +62.5% |
| 1940 | +52.7% |
| 1944 | +41.9% |
| 1948 | +52.2% |
| 1952 | −0.9% |
| 1956 | −6.5% |
| 1960 | +25.2% |
| 1964 | +50.0% |
| 1968 | +17.7% |
| 1972 | −29.2% |
| 1976 | +18.1% |
| 1980 | +6.6% |
| 1984 | −21.6% |
| 1988 | −1.4% |
| 1992 | +1.7% |
| 1996 | +8.0% |
| 2000 | −18.8% |
| 2004 | −28.4% |
| 2008 | −14.5% |
| 2012 | −24.8% |
| 2016 | −27.0% |
| 2020 | −32.7% |
| 2024 | −39.5% |
U.S. Senate
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,090 |
| 2018 | 4,949 |
| 2020 | 5,007 |
| 2022 | 4,913 |
| 2024 | 4,938 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−25 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −314 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $49,759 in average income, against $61,663 for residents who stayed — 19% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+23.4 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Refugio County, TX itself (R+39.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Nueces County, TX25R+11.5
- San Patricio County, TX23R+36.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Victoria County, TX24
- Nueces County, TX21
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −39 |
| 2012 | −64 |
| 2013 | +30 |
| 2014 | +87 |
| 2015 | −36 |
| 2016 | −53 |
| 2017 | −96 |
| 2018 | −199 |
| 2019 | −67 |
| 2021 | +15 |
| 2022 | −6 |
| 2023 | +78 |
| 2024 | +61 |
| 2025 | −25 |
Refugio County's economy revolves around cattle ranching and oil production, and its roughly 7,800 residents have delivered Republican presidential margins above 35 points in each of the last three cycles, a pattern consistent with rural South Texas energy corridors.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 39.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.5 points.
A population of 6,707, a 41% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,181 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Crosby County and Gonzales County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Refugio County, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/48391/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.