Jefferson County, Arkansas: Black Belt county. In 2024, voted D+20%. Democratic peak: D+88 in 1936.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+20MIT Election Lab
- Political typology
- Black BeltAkashic typology
- Population
- 64,8022024 5-year
- Median household income
- $51,0962024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 56.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+88 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+24 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Taliaferro County, GA · similarity 0.99
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | No data |
| 1880 | No data |
| 1884 | No data |
| 1888 | No data |
| 1892 | +22.3% |
| 1896 | +21.9% |
| 1900 | −4.0% |
| 1904 | +6.7% |
| 1908 | +6.4% |
| 1912 | +34.4% |
| 1916 | +40.4% |
| 1920 | +42.9% |
| 1924 | +39.2% |
| 1928 | +17.6% |
| 1932 | +84.9% |
| 1936 | +87.5% |
| 1940 | +73.2% |
| 1944 | +44.3% |
| 1948 | +47.6% |
| 1952 | +16.7% |
| 1956 | +5.4% |
| 1960 | +23.6% |
| 1964 | +12.6% |
| 1968 | +17.7% |
| 1972 | −24.0% |
| 1976 | +44.7% |
| 1980 | +21.9% |
| 1984 | +10.8% |
| 1988 | +13.9% |
| 1992 | +45.1% |
| 1996 | +48.3% |
| 2000 | +32.9% |
| 2004 | +31.0% |
| 2008 | +26.3% |
| 2012 | +29.0% |
| 2016 | +25.8% |
| 2020 | +21.7% |
| 2024 | +20.1% |
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 12,802 | 8,468 | 21,608 | ||
| D | 14,981 | 9,521 | 25,158 | ||
| D | 15,772 | 9,250 | 25,318 | ||
| D | 17,470 | 9,520 | 27,383 | ||
| D | 18,465 | 10,655 | 29,689 | ||
| D | 19,675 | 10,218 | 30,493 | ||
| D | 17,716 | 8,765 | 27,201 | ||
| D | 19,701 | 6,330 | 27,677 | ||
| D | 21,819 | 7,525 | 31,692 | ||
| D | 16,664 | 12,520 | 29,752 | ||
| D | 18,082 | 14,514 | 32,909 | ||
| D | 17,292 | 10,697 | 30,046 | ||
| D | 21,001 | 8,034 | 29,035 | ||
| R | 10,346 | 16,888 | 27,260 | ||
| O | 9,125 | 4,860 | 24,038 | ||
| D | 12,872 | 9,968 | 22,969 | ||
| D | 8,442 | 4,839 | 15,235 | ||
| D | 6,426 | 5,743 | 12,558 | ||
| D | 8,300 | 5,925 | 14,252 | ||
| D | 5,086 | 1,176 | 8,214 | ||
| D | 4,095 | 1,578 | 5,676 | ||
| D | 3,829 | 587 | 4,429 | ||
| D | 3,414 | 224 | 3,645 | ||
| D | 5,248 | 419 | 5,690 | ||
| D | 2,611 | 1,830 | 4,450 | ||
| D | 1,950 | 707 | 3,172 | ||
| D | 2,670 | 1,048 | 3,783 | ||
| D | 2,173 | 923 | 3,096 | ||
| D | 1,659 | 579 | 3,137 | ||
| D | 1,585 | 1,386 | 3,125 | ||
| D | 1,520 | 1,324 | 2,943 | ||
| R | 1,363 | 1,477 | 2,844 | ||
| D | 1,653 | 1,050 | 2,750 | ||
| D | 1,784 | 1,092 | 3,100 | ||
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Demographics
Jefferson County's electorate is majority African American, producing consistent double-digit Democratic margins in a state that otherwise trends heavily Republican. Pine Bluff, the county seat, is one of Arkansas's largest cities and drives turnout patterns across the region.
The Democratic margin here reached eighty-eight points in 1936. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved two points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was twenty points. The recent movement, modest against a deep Democratic baseline, mirrors a broader rightward drift across the Black Belt.
The economic context is part of the story: a median household income of $51,096 and a 19% poverty rate. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Taliaferro County and Phillips County.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Jefferson County, Arkansas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/05069/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
