† Citizen voting-age population estimated for prior cycles; 2004 predates the ACS and is extrapolated. Source: ACS 5-year, table B05003.
——
D+60R+60
20042024
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
People and households
Who lives here
Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.
Race · ethnicity · ancestry
Communities and origins
GroupCatalinaArizonaUnited States
German20.6%12.6%12.5%
English16.8%10.2%9.5%
Irish14.5%8.9%9.4%
Italian6.5%4.1%4.8%
American5.2%4.0%5.3%
Polish3.6%2.0%2.2%
Scottish3.3%1.7%1.3%
French3.1%1.8%1.6%
Mexican20.1%26.9%11.3%
Puerto Rican0.6%0.7%1.8%
Spaniard0.4%0.5%—
Spanish0.3%0.4%—
Cuban0.2%0.3%0.7%
African American†1.7%3.6%9.9%
African0.2%0.3%0.5%
Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.
Age and life stage
Measure
Catalina
Arizona
United States
Median age
57.3
39.3
39.1
Age 18–24
4.3%
9.5%
9.2%
Age 65 and older
38.2%
18.9%
17.2%
Household economy
Measure
Catalina
Arizona
United States
Median household income
$78,207
$79,964
$84,427
Poverty rate
8.3%
12.5%
12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)
31.5%
33.5%
35.6%
Languages at home
Measure
Catalina
Arizona
United States
Speaks a non-English language at home
16.0%
25.8%
22.3%
Spanish
13.4%
19.3%
13.6%
German or other West Germanic
1.3%
0.3%
0.5%
Religious landscape
Measure
Catalina
Arizona
United States
Catholic
—
21.3%
18.6%
Evangelical Protestant
—
10.5%
16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted
—
55.8%
51.5%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.
Catalina, Arizona
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
−18.3%
2008
−18.1%
2012
−23.1%
2016
−17.6%
2020
−17.5%
2024
−19.9%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits. † 2004 sub-county results are estimated: the source's block-level detail for this cycle was unreliable — either county/municipality-level consolidated reporting (COVID-era) or a precinct-to-block allocation that misplaced votes — so the figures are allocated from the constituent county totals in proportion to the place and scaled to certified totals.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
39.4%Harris1,661
59.3%Trump2,500
1.3%
R+19.9
R+2.4
R+18.4
4,214
R
40.6%Biden1,754
58.1%Trump2,508
1.3%
R+17.5
D+0.1
R+21.9
4,317
R
38.0%Clinton1,404
55.5%Trump2,054
6.5%
R+17.6
D+5.6
R+19.7
3,699
R
37.5%Obama1,487
60.6%Romney2,405
1.9%
R+23.1
R+5.0
R+27.0
3,966
R
40.2%Obama1,433
58.3%McCain2,080
1.5%
R+18.1
D+0.2
R+25.4
3,568
R
40.6%Kerry1,342
59.0%Bush1,948
0.4%
R+18.3
—
R+15.9
3,303
Catalina is a census-designated place north of Tucson where a large share of residents are retirees, giving it a demographic profile that tilts older than surrounding Pinal County and shapes its relatively stable turnout patterns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 23.1 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 19.9 points.
A population of 6,489, a 69% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $78,207 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Picture Rocks and Cottonwood.
Akashic
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
In 2024, Catalina, Arizona voted Republican by 19.9 points (R+19.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 4,214 votes cast, 1,661 went Democratic and 2,500 went Republican.
How many people live in Catalina, Arizona?
Catalina, Arizona has a population of 6,489 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Catalina, Arizona?
Median household income in Catalina, Arizona is $78,207 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arizona state median is $79,964.
What is the political history of Catalina, Arizona?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Catalina, Arizona from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
